<p>Last week for my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets could have been so much better!</p>

<p>Thanks to NY Giants coach Brian Daboll going for 2 twice and failing twice cost me from a 4-1 week.</p>

<p>The Giants lost to Washington, 27-22, as the Giants were 4-point underdogs.</p>

<p>My combo of Justin Herbert over 222.5 passing yards and Ladd McConkey over 4.5 receptions came through. The under 47.5 in the rain soaked Detroit-Green Bay contest also hit.</p>

<p>My other loss was D&rsquo;Andre Swift&rsquo;s anytime TD. When Caleb Williams struggles, the whole Bears offense struggles.</p>

<p>But we have another interesting week as the NY Giants and Carolina play in Germany as we have football all day.</p>

<p><strong>Record: 3-2 (.600)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 16-24 (.400)</strong></p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 10 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Atlanta at New Orleans</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>New Orleans +3.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Why is this line only 3.5 points?</p>

<p>I believe the Saints to play up as their special teams coach Darren Rizzi takes over the head coaching spot for the fired Dennis Allen.</p>

<p>And there is some history here as well.</p>

<p>The Saints have won 3 of the last 4 straight up in New Orleans. The Falcons haven&rsquo;t won in New Orleans since 2019.</p>

<h2><strong>Buffalo at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Indianapolis +4 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Another game with an unexplainable line.</p>

<p>The last time the Bills won in Indianapolis, Doug Flutie was their quarterback in 1998.</p>

<p>The Colts have won six straight at home vs. Bills, and the only close game was 17-16 win 2006.</p>

<p>In those five other losses, Indianapolis has won by an average of 19.2 points.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at Houston</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Houston +4 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>I&rsquo;m staying with the theme of home dogs.</p>

<p>The Lions are of the best teams in the league, however, they have struggled with the Texans.</p>

<p>Houston owns a 4-1 all-time record vs. the Lions, and the Lions have lost both of those contest that were played in Houston.</p>

<p>Plus, the Texans activated WR Nico Collins off the IR, even though he is still listed as questionable.</p>

<h2><strong>Minnesota at Jacksonville</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Justin Jefferson over 92.5 receiving yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This is only the fourth road game of the season for the Vikings, and Jefferson is usually a better option at home.</p>

<p>He has more than 550 receiving yards in home games compared to away games, and he averages more than 100 receiving yards in home games (103.0).</p>

<p>However, for his career, he has averaged 93.3 receiving yards in his career in away games.</p>

<p>And did I mention, the Jaguars are the second worst team in the league this season vs. the pass. They give up 264.3 passing yards a game.</p>

<h2><strong>San Francisco at Tampa Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>George Kittle over 58.5 receiving yards on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>Kittle has been a beast the last four weeks, however, Christian McCaffrey is returning to the 49ers&rsquo; starting lineup.</p>

<p>I believe Kittle will be continued to be heavily involved while CMC gets into game shape.</p>

<p>Last season vs. the Bucs, Kittle had 8 catches for 89 yards and a TD.</p>

<p>We should see a repeat performance this year vs. the Bucs have the 3rd worse defense vs. TE in DK scoring.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://x.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 Last week for my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets could have been so much better!Thanks to NY Giants coach Brian Daboll going for 2 twice and failing twice cost me from a 4-1 week.The Giants lost to Washington, 27-22, as the Giants were 4-point underdogs.My 

NFL Week 10 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>It&rsquo;s time to get on a roll with&nbsp;Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!</p>

<p>The week off was refreshing and sad at the same time.</p>

<p>My family and I enjoyed watching our niece and nephew compete in their respective cross country meets, but we had to put down our oldest cat, sandwiched around their meets.</p>

<p>But life goes on and we remember the ones we lost.</p>

<p>And now it&rsquo;s time to turn my season around with my Best Bets.</p>

<p><strong>Record: 1-4 (.200)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 13-22 (.371)</strong></p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 9 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Washington at NY Giants</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>NY Giants +4 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I think the home dogs are ready to bounce back after the public has destroyed the books early this season.</p>

<p>I know Jayden Daniels has the Commanders riding on a high after last week&rsquo;s game-winning Hail Mary, but the Giants have played well vs. Washington in New York City.</p>

<p>In their last five matchups in MetLife Stadium, the Giants are 4-1 vs. this week&rsquo;s spread, including 3 wins.</p>

<p>Give me the points with the home dog.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at Green Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Under 47.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The history on this game is hit and miss on the total.</p>

<p>The over has reached the 47.5 mark in 3 of the last 5 matchups at Lambeau Field. And they have averaged 50 points&nbsp;in those 5 games.</p>

<p>The game opened with a total of 49 and has gradually moved down.</p>

<p>And Jordan Love is expected to play after logging two limited practices on Thursday and Friday. However, Love sustained a groin injury last week at Jacksonville.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;m not sold that Love will be able to move much in the pocket vs. the Lions defense &ndash; even without Aiden Hutchinson.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Chargers at Cleveland</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Justin Herbert over 222.5 passing yards on Bet365</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Ladd McConkey more than 4.5 receptions on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>We have seen a nice surprise in passing volume for Herbert since the Chargers bye in Week 5.</p>

<p>Herbert&rsquo;s highest pass attempts was 27 during the first 4 weeks of the season</p>

<p>Since coming out of the bye, Herbert has thrown the ball 32 times or more in the last three games.</p>

<p>He also had not thrown for more than 179 yards in the first 4, but he&rsquo;s averaging 288.3 pass yards a game in the last three.</p>

<p>And McConkey has been Herbert&rsquo;s favorite target this season.</p>

<p>McConkey has seen at least 6 targets or more in 6 of 7 games, including 21 targets in the last 3 games.</p>

<h2><strong>Chicago at Arizona </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>D&rsquo;Andre Swift anytime TD (-105) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Swift has become the focal point of the running game since Week 4 for the Bears.</p>

<p>And since becoming the focal point, Swift has scored a TD in four straight games.</p>

<p>He has averaged 96.5 rushing yards and 18 carries a game in that timeframe. And Swift has also seen 13 targets in those four games.</p>

<p>He should be a big part of the offense again this week against Cardinals&rsquo; porous run defense (26th vs. the run this season).</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://x.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 It&rsquo;s time to get on a roll with&nbsp;Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!The week off was refreshing and sad at the same time.My family and I enjoyed watching our niece and nephew compete in their respective cross country meets, but we had to put down our

NFL Week 9 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>Baby steps for my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!</p>

<p>The last three weeks I&rsquo;ve been .500 but with more information on the NFL season,&nbsp;the betting market has become a little clearer.</p>

<p>With so many injuries and players in new places, it sometimes takes a little while to get a feel to the new season.</p>

<p>But with some early trades with the trade deadline creeping closer, that may change some of the information gathered from earlier in the season.</p>

<p>But we still have 12 more weeks to right the ship!</p>

<p><strong>Record: 3-2 (.600)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 12-18 (.400)</strong></p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 7 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!</p>

<h2><strong>Miami at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Miami +3.5 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>The Dolphins have had a week to get healthy and to get new QB Tyler Huntley more familiar with the offense.</p>

<p>De&rsquo;Von Achane has cleared the concussion protocol and Raheem Mostert is another full week away his early season chest injury.</p>

<p>Huntley is 1-1 as the starter for the Dolphins after leading them to a 15-10 road win at New England in Week 5.</p>

<p>Plus, Miami has played well in Indy.</p>

<p>In their last five visits, the Dolphins have won the game outright twice and are 4-1 vs. this week&rsquo;s spread in those five games.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at Minnesota</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Justin Jefferson over 93.5 receiving yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Two things are going for Jefferson this week &ndash; he&rsquo;s playing at home and he&rsquo;s playing the Lions.</p>

<p>Jefferson has averaged 102.6 receiving yards in 25 career games at home.</p>

<p>Then add in NFC North Division rival Detroit, who he has torched for 134.5 receiving yards a game in 8 career games.</p>

<p>In his last three matchups vs. the Lions, he has finished with 223, 141 and 192 receiving yards, respectively.</p>

<p>Plus, Detroit lost their pass rushing specialist Aiden Hutchinson to a broken leg.</p>

<p>This line is way too low for Jefferson!</p>

<h2><strong>Philadelphia at NY Giants </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Malik Nabers receiving yards ladder over 80.5 (+125), over 90.5 (+185) and over 115.5 (+450) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Nabers has been a reception machine since Week 1.</p>

<p>Nabers averaged 10 catches from Week 2 through Week 5 and now faces an Eagles defense that gives up big plays in the passing game.</p>

<p>The Eagles are the fifth worse defense vs. WRs this season and are giving up 13.7 yard per reception.</p>

<p>The Giants are 3-point underdogs and may be in a negative game script most of the game.</p>

<p>If Nabers catches&nbsp;8 passes, he should surpass the second leg of the ladder.</p>

<h2><strong>Seattle at Atlanta</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Geno Smith over 33.5 pass attempts on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Seattle alternate team total 28.5 points (+180) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Smith has surpassed 33.5 pass attempts in his past five games.</p>

<p>He has averaged 45.2 attempts during that period. And in his only other matchup vs. Atlanta as the Seattle QB, he threw the ball 44 times in 2022.</p>

<p>And the Seahawks enter the game as a small road dog as the Falcons are favored by 3 points. The game also has a total of 51.5 points.</p>

<p>For Seattle&rsquo;s team total, they have averaged 29.2 points a game in its last five visits to Atlanta.</p>

<p>They have scored 33, 27, 20, 33 and 28 points in those five games.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://x.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 Baby steps for my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!The last three weeks I&rsquo;ve been .500 but with more information on the NFL season,&nbsp;the betting market has become a little clearer.With so many injuries and players in new places, it sometimes takes 

NFL Week 7 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>I went the wrong direction with my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets last week.</p>

<p>After finally putting a winning week together in Week 4, I fell to 1-4 in Week 5.</p>

<p>Derrick Henry scored his 7th touchdown of the season for my only win with his anytime TD bet.</p>

<p>But I believe I was on the right path with 3 of my 4 losses.</p>

<p>I completely missed on the under in the Baltimore-Cincinnati game. The Ravens can&rsquo;t stop the pass and Bengals can&rsquo;t stop anyone.</p>

<p>The San Francisco offense scoring more than 34.5 points looked good at halftime with 23 points, but the 49ers offense forgot to show up in the second half, scoring a big fat zero points.</p>

<p>Jayden Reed and D.K. Metcalf just missed their over receiving yards numbers by less than 10 yards.</p>

<p>Process pointing in the right direction but the results keep falling short.</p>

<p><strong>Record: 1-4 (.200)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 9-16 (.360)</strong></p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"><strong>Join our Discord and our NFL premium service to get all our plays.</strong></a></p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 6 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Chicago vs. Jacksonville (in London)</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Under 44.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Jacksonville will be playing the first of its two games in London this season.</p>

<p>This will be the second season the Jaguars have played two games in London, and their games tend to be sluggish.</p>

<p>The Jaguars&rsquo; last four games in London have gone under this week&rsquo;s total of 44.5 in 3 games.</p>

<p>And Chicago has one of the league&rsquo;s top defenses this season, currently 7th in total team defense.</p>

<h2><strong>Indianapolis at Tennessee</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tony Pollard over 62.5 rushing yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The Titans enter the game vs. the Colts as a small home favorite, and they have leaned heavily on Pollard for running the ball in 3 out of 4 games.</p>

<p>In his last game vs. Miami, Pollard had 22 carries for 88 yards and a score.</p>

<p>He has averaged 61.5 rushing yards a game this season, which includes one game of only 14 yards rushing.</p>

<p>Pollard has only played the Colts one other time in his career. And he had 91 rushing yards on 12 carries and 2 TDs with the Cowboys in 2022.</p>

<h2><strong>Washington at Baltimore</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Terry McLaurin over 4.5 receptions on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I think this is the line that will get me in the end.</p>

<p>The Ravens enter the game as the 2nd worse pass defense in the league, so why is McLaurin only at 4.5 receptions?</p>

<p>In his last four games, McLaurin has averaged 8 targets and 5.25 receptions a game.</p>

<p>However, the Commanders enter the game as a 6.5-point underdog despite their sparkling 4-1 record.</p>

<p>Brian Robinson Jr. may miss the game as he has not practiced at all this week with a knee injury.</p>

<p>McLaurin is the best proven offensive weapon for standout rookie QB Jayden Daniels.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Chargers at Denver</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Denver +3 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This one is another head scratcher of a line for me.</p>

<p>The Broncos have not only covered but have won their last 5 meetings vs. the Chargers in the Mile High city.</p>

<p>Rookie QB Bo Nix and the offense has been finding ways to win behind their stout defense.</p>

<p>The Denver defense has given up 11.8 points in its last 4 contests.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at Dallas</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 52.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This is a rematch of last year&rsquo;s late season battle.</p>

<p>The Lions failed two-point conversion helped to lead the Cowboys to the NFC East Division title.</p>

<p>But this season, we see two the fastest playing teams in the NFL.</p>

<p>The Lions are 5th with 65.5 plays a game, while Dallas is 9th at 64.4 plays a game.</p>

<p>Detroit averages 26 points a game, while the Cowboys average 23.4 points a game.</p>

<p>As for the defenses, the Lions have a bottom 10 defense vs. the pass, while the Cowboys have the third best pass offense.</p>

<p>Detroit will rely on his balanced offense as they are in the Top 10 in both passing and rushing offense this season.</p>

<p>Expect plenty of offensive fireworks!</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://x.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 I went the wrong direction with my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets last week.After finally putting a winning week together in Week 4, I fell to 1-4 in Week 5.Derrick Henry scored his 7th touchdown of the season for my only win with his anytime TD bet.But I 

NFL Week 6 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>The run has started with my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!</p>

<p>After struggling through the first three weeks of the NFL season, I came through with a nice 4-1 record in Week 4. My only loss was the NY Jets&rsquo; 10-9 loss to Denver as a 7.5-point home favorite.</p>

<p>Rain from Hurricane Helene slowed play in the game and the Broncos defense is one of the top units in the league.</p>

<p>But we have to stay positive to build off this great week.</p>

<p><strong>Last Week&#39;s Record: 4-1 (.800)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 8-12 (.400)</strong></p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"><strong>Join our Discord and our NFL premium service to get all our plays.</strong></a></p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 5 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Baltimore at Cincinnati </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Derrick Henry anytime touchdown (-190) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Under 49 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Henry has been a scoring machine this season as he has 6 total TDs in in four games.</p>

<p>But he has been a roll in the last two games. Henry has touched the ball 26 and 27 times in the Ravens&rsquo; two wins.</p>

<p>Henry also has 11 red zone touches this season and he has scored 4 times in those 11 touches.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;m going with the under this AFC North Division battle as the two times have scored less than this week&rsquo;s total in 6 of the last 10 games played in Cincinnati.</p>

<p>Plus, once the Ravens get a lead they tend to pound with Henry, wearing down teams in their two wins. And add in the fact that the Bengals are one of the slowest paced teams this season at 57.8 plays a game (tied for 27th).</p>

<h2><strong>Arizona at San Francisco </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>49ers over 34.5 team total points (+125) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Brock Purdy&rsquo;s rise as the San Francisco QB has been meteoric.</p>

<p>From the last pick of the 2022 NFL Draft to a Super Bowl QB has been a boon for 49ers fans but a bane in the &ldquo;donkey&rdquo; for Cardinals fans.</p>

<p>Purdy has started 3 times vs. San Fran&rsquo;s NFC West Division rival and the 49ers have scored 35 or more points in all 3 games, averaging 39.2 points in those contest.</p>

<p>I think 34.5 points plus juice is a steal this week.</p>

<h2><strong>Green Bay at LA Rams</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Jayden Reed over 80.5 alternate receiving yards (+125) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This play is based on the attrition of the Packers WR corps.</p>

<p>Christian Watson is doubtful with an ankle injury, and Romeo Doubs is doubtful after skipping practice on Thursday and Friday because he was unhappy with his role. And TE Luke Musgrave is expected to miss with an ankle injury.</p>

<p>This leaves Reed with a prime opportunity for a big game.</p>

<p>In his two games with Jordan Love as the Green Bay QB, Reed has averaged 138.5 receiving yards.</p>

<p>Surpassing 80.5 yards seems like a gift.</p>

<h2><strong>NY Giants at Seattle </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>D.K. Metcalf over 66.5 receiving yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The Vegas oddsmakers believe the Seahawks may rely on their running game more as a big favorite vs. the NY Giants.</p>

<p>Seattle is a 7-point fav and the Giants will be without rookie standout WR Malik Nabers.</p>

<p>But what Metcalf has done the last 3 weeks makes this bet a possible winner.</p>

<p>Metcalf has averaged 112.3 receiving yards during that three-week span.</p>

<p>The Giants are a middle of the road pass defense, but in their last 2 games, they have given up 86 yards and 2 TDs to Amari Cooper and 98 yards and 1 TD to CeeDee Lamb.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://x.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

<p><span style="color:blue"><u><strong><em><span style="color:black"><a href="https://betkarma.com/prizepicks-predictor?afmc=34" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline"><span style="color:black">Also check out our PrizePicks Predictor!</span></a></span></em></strong></u></span></p>

 The run has started with my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!After struggling through the first three weeks of the NFL season, I came through with a nice 4-1 record in Week 4. My only loss was the NY Jets&rsquo; 10-9 loss to Denver as a 7.5-point home favori

NFL Week 5 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>Well, I improved on my 0-5 Week 2 which isn&rsquo;t say much but a winning week has alluded me again in my Best Bets.</p>

<p>This season has been a conundrum for myself.</p>

<p>Bets are suffering, while DFS and regular fantasy season have seen a rough start.</p>

<p>But it&rsquo;s still only Week 4 and we have plenty of time to make up ground.</p>

<p><strong>Record: 2-3 (.400)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 4-11 (.267)</strong></p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"><strong>Join our Discord and our NFL premium service to get all our plays.</strong></a></p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos"><strong>Also don&rsquo;t forget to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses for the NFL season.</strong></a></p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 4 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Denver at NY Jets</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Jets -7.5 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>The Jets easily handled New England the last time they took the field.</p>

<p>Aaron Rodgers had the offense running smoothly as the defense smothered the Patriots offense.</p>

<p>This week that Jets defense get to face a rookie QB in Bo Nix. Nix threw two interceptions in each of his first two starts before picking up his first NFL win vs. Tampa Bay last week.</p>

<p>However, the Broncos must make another trip to the Eastern Time Zone for a 1 p.m. game.</p>

<p>Plus, the Jets have won their last two matchups by 8 points or more.</p>

<h2><strong>Jacksonville at Houston</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>C.J. Stroud over 264.5 passing yards on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>Stroud made a living against poor pass defense last season.</p>

<p>Now he faces a Jaguars defense that is the 3rd worse team vs. the pass this season.</p>

<p>Jacksonville gives up 252.3 passing yards a game, and just gave up 4 first-half TD passes to Josh Allen in Week 3.</p>

<p>Stroud threw for 280 and 304 yards in the Texans&rsquo; matchups against their AFC South Division rival last season.</p>

<h2><strong>Philadelphia at Tampa Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Saquon Barkley over 75.5 rushing yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Barkley has been a one-man wrecking ball for the Eagles this season.</p>

<p>He has rushed for 95 yards or more in all three game this season, and the Buccaneers rush defense has given up 137.7 rush yards a game this season.</p>

<p>With all the injuries on the Eagles offense, Barkley should be the focal point for touches.</p>

<h2><strong>Washington at Arizona </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 49 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>What do you get when you cross one of the most electric offenses in the league with a bad defense?</p>

<p>The Washington Commanders!</p>

<p>Now those Commanders had to Arizona to face the Cardinals&rsquo; dynamic offense in Phoenix.</p>

<p>Jayden Daniels has been the best rookie QB this season, leading the Commanders to 2 wins despite their bad defense.</p>

<p>Arizona has some offensive firepower as well, despite TE Trey McBride missing this game because of a concussion.</p>

<h2><strong>Seattle at Detroit</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 46 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>In their last three matchups, the Seahawks and the Lions have combined to average 80.3 points a game.</p>

<p>And the Lions could be trailing in this game. Detroit has lost its last 6 contests vs. Seattle, and the last time the Lions won in this series was in 2012.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;ll take a home favorite trailing and putting up points in the dome.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://x.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 Well, I improved on my 0-5 Week 2 which isn&rsquo;t say much but a winning week has alluded me again in my Best Bets.This season has been a conundrum for myself.Bets are suffering, while DFS and regular fantasy season have seen a rough start.But it&

NFL Week 4 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>The weird NFL season has caught me, too!</p>

<p>For the first time in my two-year stint of writing my Best Bets, I was shut out.</p>

<p>A 0-5 week can affect one&rsquo;s psychic, but I&rsquo;ve bet on games and played fantasy football long enough to know it only takes one week to turn things around.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;ve struggled with my co-workers making just straight up picks &ndash; I went 5-11 last week on just picking winners.</p>

<p>It will get better and hopefully quickly.</p>

<p><strong>Record: 0-5 (.000)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 2-8 (.200)</strong></p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 3 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Chicago at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 43.5 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>This is one of plays I like to see on the schedule &ndash; an inter-conference game in a dome.</p>

<p>Thanks to the balance scheduling, NFL teams will see every team in the other conference once every 4 years.</p>

<p>And these dome games tend to be fun to watch.</p>

<p>I know both teams have struggling young quarterbacks but that gives the offenses some opportunities on some short fields thanks to turnovers.</p>

<p>This play will start our good run.</p>

<h2><strong>Philadelphia at New Orleans </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 49 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>As crazy as the NFL has been this season, this game could finish at 10-7. But these offenses are in good form and the Philly defense is still bad.</p>

<p>The Eagles D has given up an average of 29.9 points a game in their last 10 games.</p>

<p>The Saints have averaged 45.5 points a game under new offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak.</p>

<p>Maybe this total needs to be higher?</p>

<h2><strong>Baltimore at Dallas</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Baltimore -1 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Lamar Jackson more than 54.5 rushing yards on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>The Ravens and the Cowboys have played each other six times, and the Ravens own a 5-1 all-time record.</p>

<p>This game also profiles as an inter-conference game in a dome &ndash; meaning plenty of offense.</p>

<p>And Lamar has beaten the Cowboys in his only start against them in 2020.</p>

<p>He compiled 94 rushing yards and a touchdown in that game.</p>

<p>Jackson may need to use his legs more with a sub-par offensive line vs. the Cowboys pass rush.</p>

<h2><strong>Carolina at Las Vegas</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Brock Bowers 70+ alternate receiving yards (+230) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The Panthers enter the game giving up the second most fantasy points to TEs this season.</p>

<p>And the rookie Bowers has been one of the most consistent tight ends in the short season.</p>

<p>He has a 25 percent target share and 26 percent air yard share on a team with Davante Adams. He has been a Top 3 TE each week and the TE2 overall in the first two games of the season.</p>

<p>He&rsquo;s averaged 7.5 catches and 78 yards per game.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://x.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 The weird NFL season has caught me, too!For the first time in my two-year stint of writing my Best Bets, I was shut out.A 0-5 week can affect one&rsquo;s psychic, but I&rsquo;ve bet on games and played fantasy football long enough to know it only ta

NFL Week 3 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>It was sluggish start to my Best Bets.</p>

<p>But thanks to Kenneth Walker III surpassing 74.5 yards rushing, it salvaged my day with a 2-3 record (and won a little juice on the Walker bet, too).</p>

<p>But as I&rsquo;ve learned in my years of betting, NFL may be the hardest league to win against the sportsbook.</p>

<p>The league has earned its motto of any given Sunday, well.</p>

<p><strong>Record: 2-3 (.400)</strong></p>

<p><strong>Overall: 2-3 (.400)</strong></p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 2 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>NY Jets at Tennessee </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tennessee +3.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I know this pick may bite me in the butt, but hear me out.</p>

<p>The Titans defense may be a pleasant surprise this season after it watched its offense blow a big lead at Chicago last week.</p>

<p>Plus, last season teams that played on Monday night were 24-20 overall and 19-20-5 ATS.</p>

<p>Teams favored on the road after playing in a Monday Night game were 4-3-1 ATS. It was a modest record but two of those wins were by the two Super Bowl participants last season &ndash; Kansas City and San Francisco.</p>

<p>Give me the home dog!</p>

<h2><strong>Tampa Bay at Detroit</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 51 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This is my based-off-DFS-spreadsheet play.</p>

<p>My spreadsheet has both QB as strong plays, while the running back and wide receiver corps of both teams are ranked highly.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;m expecting the offenses to continue to roll after their strong performances last week. The Buccaneers beat Washington, 37-20, while the Lions downed LA Rams, 26-20.</p>

<h2><strong>NY Giants at Washington</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Jayden Daniels over 50.5 rushing yards on BetRivers</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Over 45 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>I&rsquo;m double dipping for the first time this season on this game.</p>

<p>Jayden Daniels was the best rookie QB last week, and now faces a Giants defense that struggled on the road last season. The Giants were 27th for worse in DFS in five of their nine road games in 2023.</p>

<p>Daniels rushed for 88 yards and two scores last week against a Tampa Bay defense that was expected to be a good run defense.</p>

<p>As for the over &ndash; history says 45 points is too low.</p>

<p>Last five times these two NFC East Division rivals played in D.C., they have combined to average 52.2 points a game.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Rams at Arizona</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Kyren Williams 80+ alternate rushing yards (+105) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>To say Williams likes playing against the Cardinals is putting it lightly.</p>

<p>He rushed for a combined 301 yards in two games vs. Arizona in 2023.</p>

<p>And with Ronnie Rivers as the apparent back-up, Williams should get the majority of the backfield touches again for the Rams.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 It was sluggish start to my Best Bets.But thanks to Kenneth Walker III surpassing 74.5 yards rushing, it salvaged my day with a 2-3 record (and won a little juice on the Walker bet, too).But as I&rsquo;ve learned in my years of betting, NFL may be t

NFL Week 2 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>And we are back!</p>

<p>I broke even last year with my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets. The 4-1 finish in Week 18 was nice way to cap the season. I finished last year with a 46-43-1 (.517) record, and I&rsquo;m looking to improve.</p>

<p>Just like last year, I will be providing bets on the spreads, over/unders and individual player props.</p>

<p>Well, enough with the greetings let&rsquo;s go into the important parts, sponsors and picks!</p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 1 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Minnesota at NY Giants</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>NY Giants +2 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The Giants and MetLife Stadium will see a familiar face under center for the Vikings &ndash; Sam Darnold.</p>

<p>The journeyman QB secured the starting spot after rookie J.J. McCarthy, his biggest challenger, suffered a season-ending injury in preseason.</p>

<p>Darnold does have his most complete surrounding weapons on offense in his career, but the Giants were a much better team at home last season, at least on the defensive side of the ball.</p>

<p>The Giants recorded 13 sacks in their last four home games last season and getting pressure on Darnold is key.</p>

<h2><strong>Jacksonville at Miami</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Evan Engram over 43.5 receiving yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I think the sportsbooks, who have Engram&rsquo;s line this low, are completely wrong.</p>

<p>He had 44 or more receiving yards in 72 percent of his games last season, and the Dolphins&rsquo; biggest defensive weakness is at linebacker.</p>

<p>Plus, Miami&rsquo;s new defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver is from the Rex Ryan coaching tree, which means plenty of blitzes on defense.</p>

<h2><strong>Houston at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Indianapolis +3 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I&rsquo;m going with another home dog with the Colts.</p>

<p>Both teams have young and up-and-coming talent, but the oddmakers may be ahead of themselves with this line with the C.J. Stroud hype.</p>

<p>The Texans have only covered a minus-3 line once in their last five visits to the Lucas Oil Stadium, and this includes three losses.</p>

<h2><strong>Las Vegas at LA Chargers</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Las Vegas +3.5 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>I think the oddsmakers are giving new Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh too much credit.</p>

<p>The Chargers have a re-made offense and a hobbled Justin Herbert. He has battled a foot injury during training camp.</p>

<p>The Raiders return&nbsp;one of the top pass rushes in the league, and if the Chargers can&rsquo;t get the re-vamped running game going, it will be a long home opener.</p>

<h2><strong>Denver at Seattle</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Kenneth Walker III over 74.5 alternate rushing yards (+135) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This is purely based on my spreadsheet I use for DFS.</p>

<p>Walker is one my top plays and the Broncos did nothing to improve their bad rush defense.</p>

<p>Denver went offense in the draft, taking quarterback Bo Nix in the first round.</p>

<p>And it appears the new Seattle coaching staff wants Walker to be the primary ball carrier this season.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 And we are back!I broke even last year with my Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets. The 4-1 finish in Week 18 was nice way to cap the season. I finished last year with a 46-43-1 (.517) record, and I&rsquo;m looking to improve.Just like last year, I will be prov

NFL Week 1 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>Boom! Thank you Jake Knapp!</p>

<p>Knapp allowed me to hit my second outright win in 8 events this season. He joined Matthieu Pavon, who won the outright at the Farmers Insurance Open.</p>

<p>We return to The PGA National Champion course for the Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches (par 71, 7,147 yards).</p>

<p>One thing to note is the favorites struggle to win at this&nbsp;course as there is a sitting time bomb on any hole. The event tends to be one of the toughest scoring venues on the PGA Tour.</p>

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<p>Onto the Cognizant Classic Bet to Win Picks:</p>

<h2>J.T. Poston</h2>

<h3>+2800 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>I got this line early and it moved the other way on me to +3000.</p>

<p>Poston continues to knock on the door for a victory but it alludes him.</p>

<p>He has 6 Top 20 finishes in 8 events since the Fall Series. He&rsquo;s due!</p>

<h2>Chris Kirk</h2>

<h3>+4000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>I know it&rsquo;s hard to defend a title on the tour with so many talented up-and-coming players, but Kirk has that chance this week.</p>

<p>He should be rested after missing the cut at the Genesis Invitational and not playing the Mexico Open.</p>

<p>Plus, he knows the pressures of playing The PGA National, winning in a playoff last year.</p>

<h2>Matthieu Pavon</h2>

<h3>+5000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Pavon is another golfer who should be rested since he last played in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.</p>

<p>Pavon is the Tour&rsquo;s top player in SG: approach and third in putting.</p>

<p>With numerous hazards on this course, the Frenchman will need his elite skills.</p>

<h2>Doug Ghim</h2>

<h3>+6000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Ghim is a popular pick this week as he has a Top 15 finish in his last three events.</p>

<p>His game is rounding into shape to be the perfect match for The PGA National Champion course.</p>

<p>His approach game, around the green play, accuracy off the tee and bogey avoidance are elite for this event.</p>

<h2>Chan Kim</h2>

<h3>+11000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Kim struggled to an even-par 71 in the final round of the Mexico Open or he would have finished better than T8.</p>

<p>He doesn&rsquo;t do anything great but he&rsquo;s above average in most of the key stats I used this week on my spreadsheet.</p>

<p>He is the wild card in my bets to win, but with how this season has gone, I&rsquo;ll take my chances with Kim.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2 </a></em></strong></p>

 Boom! Thank you Jake Knapp!Knapp allowed me to hit my second outright win in 8 events this season. He joined Matthieu Pavon, who won the outright at the Farmers Insurance Open.We return to The PGA National Champion course for the Cognizant Classic i

PGA Tour Cognizant Classic: Danny's Bets to Win

<p>Well, when it&rsquo;s an elevated event and only 18 golfers missed the cut, you have a good chance of picking a winner.</p>

<p>But no, not me!</p>

<p>I only 3 of 5 picks make the cut for my Bets to Win last week!</p>

<p>And the three who made the cut were not sniffing the top of the leaderboard either.</p>

<p>Just a frustrating week to go along with my DFS.</p>

<p>There&rsquo;s always another week!</p>

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<p>Onto the Mexico Open at Vidanta Bet to Win Picks:</p>

<h2>Taylor Pendrith</h2>

<h3>+2500 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Pendrith checks all the boxes to be successful at Vidanta &ndash; long off the tee and great approach game.</p>

<p>Since the Fall Series, Pendrith has been up and down with his results.</p>

<p>But when they are good, he has 4 Top 15 finishes, and with this week&rsquo;s weaker field, he may have a chance to get that win.</p>

<h2>Davis Thompson</h2>

<h3>+3500 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Thompson hasn&rsquo;t made a run on the weekend yet since the beginning Fall Series, but he has made the cut in 8 of 9 events.</p>

<p>He finished 15th at the WM Phoenix Open in his last start and his game may be a perfect fit for Vidanta.</p>

<p>His elite approach game, distance off the tee and elite putting could have him raising the trophy on Sunday.</p>

<h2>Jake Knapp</h2>

<h3>+4000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Knapp&rsquo;s T3 finish at Farmers Insurance Open gives you hope for him to bring home a win this season.</p>

<p>His distance off the tee will be his big weapon this week.</p>

<h2>Brandon Wu</h2>

<h3>+5000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Wu has an elite approach game, but it is his experience around Vidanta that will be big this week.</p>

<p>He has finished in the Top 3 the first two years of the event, behind Jon Rahm and Tony Finau.</p>

<p>And this year Finau is the only one of the two he has to compete with after Rahm left for LIV.</p>

<h2>Parker Coody</h2>

<h3>+9000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>To keep with the winning ways on the PGA Tour this season, Coody is my longshot play.</p>

<p>He checks all the boxes for a possible big win &ndash; elite approach play, especially in the 175-200 to 200-plus buckets and long off the tee.</p>

<p>His bad putter is his only weakness &ndash; however, the relatively flat greens favor the weaker putters in the field.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2 </a></em></strong></p>

 Well, when it&rsquo;s an elevated event and only 18 golfers missed the cut, you have a good chance of picking a winner.But no, not me!I only 3 of 5 picks make the cut for my Bets to Win last week!And the three who made the cut were not sniffing the 

PGA Tour Mexico Open: Danny's Bets to Win

<p>I had the numbers but the horses couldn&rsquo;t get me to the finish line last week.</p>

<p>Sam Burns, Jordan Spieth and Kurt Kitayama each entered the final round in the Top 10 and within striking distance of taking down the Waste Management Phoenix Open.</p>

<p>However, Burns had a big fourth round to shoot a 7-under but fell short of the playoff with Nick Taylor and Charley Hoffman. Spieth and Kitayama both faded from the top in the final round.</p>

<p>I can&rsquo;t complain too much as I&rsquo;ve picked the winner in 1 out of 6 tournaments this season. Matthieu Pavon&rsquo;s big win at the Farmers Insurance Open will carry me for most of the season.</p>

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<p>Onto The Genesis Invitational Bet to Win Picks:</p>

<h2>Justin Thomas</h2>

<h3>+1900 on DraftKings (+300 odds boost)</h3>

<p>Thomas continues to knock on the door but he hasn&rsquo;t find the right combination to bust through.</p>

<p>Since the beginning of the Fall Series, he has 6 Top 12 finishes, including four Top 5 finishes.</p>

<p>Plus, he has proven in the past, winning two PGA Championship, he can win a tournament vs. a stellar field of opponents.</p>

<h2>Adam Scott</h2>

<h3>+2500 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Scott is a two-time champion of this event with his most recent in 2020.</p>

<p>If he can start fast, he may have a chance on Sunday. Slow starts at Pebble Beach and Phoenix kept him on the outside looking in at the leaders.</p>

<p>His elite approach game will put him in the hunt.</p>

<h2>Nicolai Hojgaard</h2>

<h3>+5000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>My biggest concern with Hojgaard is first-timers usually don&rsquo;t win at The Riviera Country Club.</p>

<p>However, Hojgaard&rsquo;s first visit to Torrey Pines almost resulted in a win. He finished second to Pavon.</p>

<p>Hojgaard&rsquo;s strong approach game, putting and distance off the tee should give him a chance to contend.</p>

<h2>Kurt Kitayama</h2>

<h3>+6500 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>I&rsquo;m going back to Kitayama after his strong play last week in Phoenix.</p>

<p>Kitayama&rsquo;s approach game should fit in nicely at The Riviera. The Riviera Country Club and TPC Scottsdale have similar approach buckets numbers that is&nbsp;needed&nbsp;to have success.</p>

<h2>Sam Ryder</h2>

<h3>+25000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>If the longshots keep winning, why not take a chance on Ryder?</p>

<p>He enters the tournament as the best course fit player from my spreadsheet. His elite approach play will be needed for the longshots to continue their winning run on the PGA Tour this season.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2 </a></em></strong></p>

 I had the numbers but the horses couldn&rsquo;t get me to the finish line last week.Sam Burns, Jordan Spieth and Kurt Kitayama each entered the final round in the Top 10 and within striking distance of taking down the Waste Management Phoenix Open.H

PGA Tour: The Genesis Invitational - Danny's Bets to Win

<p>No fireworks last week as Mother Nature put an anti-climactic finish at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.</p>

<p>Wyndham Clark shoots his 60 on Saturday and waited before he was crowned the champion in the PGA Tour&rsquo;s second elevated event.</p>

<p>This week the Tour heads to the wild confines of TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course (par 71, 7,261 yards) for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. The 16th hole is the marquee hole as up to 20,000 fans will surround the hole with its stadium atmosphere.</p>

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<p>Onto WM Phoenix Open Bet to Win Picks:</p>

<h2>Jordan Spieth</h2>

<h3>+1800 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>It is hard to find some value this week as longshots have failed to win consistently at WM Phoenix Open.</p>

<p>And Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas&rsquo; odds are too short to make a sensible bet with a good return.</p>

<p>Spieth fills that void even though he is the fourth best betting odds to win.</p>

<h2>Sam Burns</h2>

<h3>+2000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Burns is another guy I tend to stay away from in DFS, just like Spieth, but my spreadsheet has him as a strong upside play this week (You can see my Top 25 DFS plays and my upside plays in our premium Discord).</p>

<p>Burns&rsquo; elite approach and putting should keep him in contention this week.</p>

<h2>Byeong Hun An</h2>

<h3>+2800 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>An has quietly been knocking on the door for a victory.</p>

<p>Scottsdale may be the perfect place to gain his first PGA Tour win.</p>

<p>His distance with his driver will not be hampered this week (unless it&rsquo;s awry) to allow him to open up&nbsp;his above average approach play and putting.</p>

<h2>Akshay Bhatia</h2>

<h3>+6000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Bhatia knows how to win on the PGA Tour, but can he do it in a regular full-field event?</p>

<p>His accuracy off the tee will allow him to take advantage of his strong approach game and outstanding putter (yes, putter as he is currently 16th this season in SG: putting).</p>

<h2>Kurt Kitayama</h2>

<h3>+6500 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Surprisingly, Kitayama will be a popular pick to win this week as his odds have been falling (he&rsquo;s still as high as +9000 on Bet365).</p>

<p>Kitayama is another golfer who knows how to win on the PGA Tour vs.&nbsp;top competition. He held off Rory McIlroy last year to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2 </a></em></strong></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

 No fireworks last week as Mother Nature put an anti-climactic finish at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.Wyndham Clark shoots his 60 on Saturday and waited before he was crowned the champion in the PGA Tour&rsquo;s second elevated event.This week the Tour he

PGA Tour WM Phoenix Open: Danny's Bets to Win

<p>I finally has some fun in this crazy PGA Tour season.</p>

<p>Despite being short on time with last week&rsquo;s Wednesday start, I was not able to write my Bets to Win story. However, I posted my five plays in our regular PGA-dfs-chat channel on Discord and it was great sweat on Sunday.</p>

<p>Four of my five picks made the cut and Tony Finau and Matthieu Pavon were in the hunt on Sunday.</p>

<p>Pavon eventually held off Nicolai Hojgaard to win the Farmers Insurance Open by one stroke. Finau made an early run Sunday but fell back with a T6.</p>

<p>I have a good feeling the craziness continues this week as favorites have failed to win the first four events.</p>

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<p>Onto AT&amp;T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Bet to Win Picks:</p>

<h2>Xander Schauffele</h2>

<h3>+1400 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Xander checks all the boxes for this week&rsquo;s event.</p>

<p>He ranks in the Top 30 in 8 of the 11 statistical categories I used on my spreadsheet this week.</p>

<p>His strong all-around play will be needed if the weather conditions worsen during the tournament.</p>

<h2>J.T. Poston</h2>

<h3>+4000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>If I had to pick my favorite golfer to win this week, it would be Poston.</p>

<p>Most know Poston is deadly with a hot putter, but what makes him stand out this week is his play around the greens.</p>

<p>Pebble Beach has 118 sand traps with most surrounding the greens. Poston is a Top 20 golfer in SG: around the green and SG: sand saves percentage.</p>

<h2>Byeong Hun An</h2>

<h3>+4500 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Benny is my second favorite play.</p>

<p>He has used his all-around play to come into the week as the top golfer on my weekly spreadsheet.</p>

<p>He is in Top 20&nbsp;in seven of the 11 statistical categories I used for this event.</p>

<h2>Brendon Todd</h2>

<h3>+9000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>I know this is an elevated event with one of the strongest fields in recent Pebble Beach history, but why is Todd&rsquo;s at 90/1.</p>

<p>He finished T2 last year at the event, which was played through tough weather conditions.</p>

<p>He checks all the right boxes on my spreadsheet to make another strong run.</p>

<h2>Lucas Glover</h2>

<h3>+15000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>I reviewed by spreadsheet from last week and Glover has all the makings of what Pavon did last weekend.</p>

<p>He is Top 10 in the consistency section on my spreadsheet, Top 10 in course fit and Top 10 in roster value. Pavon was Top 10 last week in all three sections.</p>

<p>And Glover has proven he can win in a big event, winning the FedEx St. Jude Championship last year.</p>

<p><em><strong>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></strong></em></p>

 I finally has some fun in this crazy PGA Tour season.Despite being short on time with last week&rsquo;s Wednesday start, I was not able to write my Bets to Win story. However, I posted my five plays in our regular PGA-dfs-chat channel on Discord and

PGA Tour: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - Danny's Bets to Win

<p>Well, four of five of my golfers made it to the weekend at the Sony Open, but none were in contention.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;ll take those odds going into the weekend when anything can happen on the PGA Tour.</p>

<p>This week the Tour starts it California swing at The American Express.</p>

<p>The unique setup allows three rounds of golf on three different courses before the cut.</p>

<p>Pete Dye Stadium Course (par 72, 7,187 yards), La Quinta Country Club (par 72, 7,060 yards) and Nicklaus Tournament Course (par 72, 7,147 yards) will be used in the rotation with the Pete Dye Stadium Course playing host to the final round.</p>

<p>The Nicklaus Tournament Course yielded the best the scores last year, and whoever has a strong run on that course on Saturday could be in line for the title on Sunday.</p>

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<p>Onto The American Express Bet to Win Picks!</p>

<h2>Sungjae Im</h2>

<h3>+2000 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>Im is part of a group of golfers who are priced 10K or more on DraftKings in DFS, but he has the longest odds of the four.</p>

<p>Of the four, Im is the second best 10K golfer on my spreadsheet, and he&rsquo;s the best putter of the four in an event that is expected to be a birdie-fest.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;ll take the extra odds on Im&rsquo;s putter.</p>

<h2>Chris Kirk</h2>

<h3>+5000 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>Kirk came up short last year at The American Express as he finished T3.</p>

<p>He will look to use his all-around game again this year after gaining more than 4 strokes last year in SG: tee to green last year.</p>

<p>He is in the Top 17 in 3 of the 4 course fits I used for my spreadsheet.</p>

<h2>Taylor Pendrith</h2>

<h3>+9000 on Caesars SportsBook</h3>

<p>Pendrith missed the cut last year at The American Express despite shooting a 7 under (the cut last year was 9 under).</p>

<p>He seems to be complete healthy after having shoulder surgery last September to remove a calcium ball lodged in the tendons in his shoulder. He missed part of the 2022 season after fracturing a rib.</p>

<p>Now it appears he&rsquo;s on the right (healthy) path and his putter is ranked in the Top 10 early this season on the Tour.</p>

<h2>Billy Horschel</h2>

<h3>+11000 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>Horschel doesn&rsquo;t have the flashy game, but he&rsquo;s been consistent since the Fall Series after his inconsistent 2023 season.</p>

<p>Horschel has 4 Top 20 finishes in his last five events and just played four sub-70 rounds at the Sony Open.</p>

<p>He finished the fourth round with a 5-under 65 in Hawaii.</p>

<h2>Carl Yuan</h2>

<h3>+20000 on BetRivers</h3>

<p>Yuan popped off on my spreadsheet this week as the top DFS play, but that is based on limited stats for this season.</p>

<p>He was in contention early at the Sony Open with a 9 under after two rounds. He fell back on Saturday before flying up the leaderboard for T4 finish after shooting a 7-under 63 in the final round.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></em></strong></p>

 Well, four of five of my golfers made it to the weekend at the Sony Open, but none were in contention.I&rsquo;ll take those odds going into the weekend when anything can happen on the PGA Tour.This week the Tour starts it California swing at The Ame

PGA Tour: The American Express - Danny's Bets to Win

<p>It&rsquo;s a shame I didn&rsquo;t put down some second-round or third-round leading bets with my Bets to Win last week.</p>

<p>Scottie Scheffler and Akshay Bhatia had my hopes up after the two held leads at the end of their respective rounds on Friday and Saturday. Then came the heartbreak.</p>

<p>This is the biggest I&rsquo;ve learned when betting or playing DFS golf &ndash; it&rsquo;s four rounds of misery most of the time. But when you get it right, it&rsquo;s pure bliss.</p>

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<p>Onto the Sony Open Bet to Win Picks!</p>

<h2>Ludvig Aberg</h2>

<h3>+1800 on Caesars Sportsbook</h3>

<p>I&rsquo;m going to the well again in picking a favorite to win in a golf tournament, and it may be a losing cause.</p>

<p>However, Aberg should be able to take advantage of his No. 1 weapon this week &ndash; his driver.</p>

<p>He&rsquo;s long and accurate which is needed to avoid unpredictable mayhem off the fairways of Wai&rsquo;alae Country Club.</p>

<h2>Eric Cole</h2>

<h3>+3000 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>It&rsquo;s hard to ignore Cole&rsquo;s fortitude of scoring a low number every week.</p>

<p>He has rattled Top 14 finishes in five of his last six events, including a second, two thirds and a fourth.</p>

<p>His elite approach play will be needed to go low at the Sony Open.</p>

<h2>Justin Rose</h2>

<h3>+4500 on BetMGM</h3>

<p>Rose is a sneaky pick this week, but he checks all the boxes to make a strong run.</p>

<p>He is Top 20 in this field in SG: approach, SG: putting and two approach buckets (150-175 and 175-200) which are needed at Wai&rsquo;alae.</p>

<p>Plus, he finished The Sentry strong last week, posting a 12-under 61 in the final round.</p>

<h2>Adam Svensson</h2>

<h3>+5000 on BetMGM</h3>

<p>Svensson has proven he can make a run at the Sony Open, finishing T7 in 2022. But he will need to polish up his putting to make another title run.</p>

<p>He lost 1.19 strokes putting last year at the event after putting well in 2022.</p>

<p>Svensson doesn&rsquo;t have any flashy stats for the Sony, but it is his balanced game that might propel him to claim this week&rsquo;s trophy.</p>

<h2>Will Zalatoris</h2>

<h3>+6000 on Caesars Sportsbook</h3>

<p>Zalatoris was downright awful at the Hero World Challenge in December, but I&rsquo;m taking a chance he was just knocking the rust of his game in that event.</p>

<p>If he can find his elite approach game and putting, he could be the surprising winner vs. a very good field at the Sony.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></em></strong></p>

 It&rsquo;s a shame I didn&rsquo;t put down some second-round or third-round leading bets with my Bets to Win last week.Scottie Scheffler and Akshay Bhatia had my hopes up after the two held leads at the end of their respective rounds on Friday and S

PGA Tour: Sony Open - Danny's Bets to Win

<p>It has been a roller coaster the last month for my Best Bets.</p>

<p>I squeezed my Week 16 4-1 mark between another 1-4 week to fall back to .500 for the season.</p>

<p>Talking with AC this week and we agreed, this betting thing is tough, especially NFL betting.</p>

<p>But this is why we watch the games, play DFS and play fantasy football &ndash; the thrill of the win.</p>

<p>This week&rsquo;s Best Bets I&rsquo;m giving us a little sweat on Saturday, in the 1 p.m. games, in the 4:25 p.m. games and the Sunday season finale.</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 1-4 (.200)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 42-42-1 (.500)</p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 18 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Houston at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 47.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Win and you&rsquo;re in!</p>

<p>The winner earns a spot in the AFC playoffs with a possible chance of an AFC South title and a first-round home game if Jacksonville loses to Tennessee.</p>

<p>So I expect plenty of offensive fireworks in this game.</p>

<p>The two teams have scored 47 or more points in four of their last five matchups in Indianapolis while&nbsp;the Colts have averaged&nbsp;more than 30 points in those five games.</p>

<h2><strong>Minnesota at Detroit</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 45.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The Lions have an outside chance of earning the No. 2 seed with a win and losses by Dallas and Philadelphia.</p>

<p>But that is not that long of a longshot as the Vikings have to making the NFC playoffs.</p>

<p>The Vikings have two scenarios for making the playoffs: A win and a Green Bay loss and a Seattle loss and a Tampa Bay loss OR a win and a Green Bay loss and a Seattle loss and a New Orleans loss.</p>

<p>Both teams&rsquo; offenses should be pushing for at least a half or three quarters.</p>

<p>Plus, the two have combined for more than 45.5 points in six of their last seven matchups.</p>

<h2><strong>Chicago at Green Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Aaron Jones over 82.5 yards combined rushing &amp; receiving on BetRivers</strong></h3>

<p>A.J. Dillon is already declared out for this game so Jones should see the majority of the touches in the Green Bay backfield.</p>

<p>In his three games where he had more than 20 touches, Jones has crushed this number. He has averaged 121.3 yards rushing and receiving in those three games.</p>

<p>And the Packers are playing for a playoff spot and still have injuries in their receiving corps.</p>

<h2><strong>Seattle at Arizona</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Kyler Murray over 259.5 yards combined passing &amp; rushing on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>Since the Cardinals&rsquo; Week 14 bye, Murray has surpassed 259.5 yards combined passing and rushing in two of the three games. He has averaged 259.3 combined yards.</p>

<p>Now he faces a team he has had success piling up numbers.</p>

<p>In his last three matchups vs. the Seahawks, Murray has averaged 212.3 yards passing and 65 yards rushing.</p>

<p>And Seattle just gave up 266 yards passing to Pittsburgh&rsquo;s Mason Rudolph.</p>

<h2><strong>Buffalo at Miami</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Josh Allen over 1.5 TD passes on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>With their playoff lives on the line, the Bills face the perfect matchup for their quarterback Josh Allen.</p>

<p>Allen has been a pain for Miami since he&rsquo;s entered the league.</p>

<p>This will be Allen&rsquo;s 12th matchup vs. the Dolphins, and he has thrown for at least 2 TDs in every game vs. Miami.</p>

<p>Miami enters the game as a home underdog and has a bunch of injuries on both sides of the ball. Allen may have his way again.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 It has been a roller coaster the last month for my Best Bets.I squeezed my Week 16 4-1 mark between another 1-4 week to fall back to .500 for the season.Talking with AC this week and we agreed, this betting thing is tough, especially NFL betting.But

NFL Week 18 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>The PGA Tour begins the 2024 season in its usual place &ndash; Hawaii.</p>

<p>The Top 50 from last year&rsquo;s points list along with PGA Tour winners head to the Plantation Course at Kapalua for The Sentry (par 73, 7,596 yards).</p>

<p>I ran a little unlucky trying to pick a winner during the Fall Series, but hopefully I can start the 2024 on the right foot in my Bet to Win Picks.</p>

<p><span style="background-color:#fcfcfc"><span style="color:black">The Sentry is the first of eight Signature Events of the 2024 FedExCup Regular Season.</span></span> There are only 59 golfers playing this week&rsquo;s no-cut event.</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Click here to get all our Premium Bets!</a></p>

<p>Onto The Sentry&rsquo;s Bet to Win Picks!</p>

<h2><strong>Scottie Scheffler</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+550 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I know he&rsquo;s not a big bang for the buck play, but Scheffler could in line for a big season.</p>

<p>He may have fixed his putting woes as he won the Hero World Challenge with a new putter.</p>

<p>The rest of his game is well suited at Kapalua, where he had a T-7 last year after a disappointing final round of -3.</p>

<h2><strong>Colin Morikawa</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+1200 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Morikawa snatched a loss out of the jaws of victory last season.</p>

<p>He had a six-stroke lead heading into the final round of last year&rsquo;s event, only to watch Jon Rahm shoot a 10-under in the fourth round to win by two strokes.</p>

<p>Morikawa has finished in the Top 7 the last four years.</p>

<h2><strong>Ludvig Aberg </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+1400 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>He will be another golfer I will probably place a lot of money on this season.</p>

<p>Since turning pro during the summer after finishing as the top golfer in college, Aberg is has been a beast on the course.</p>

<p>He has six Top 13 finishes in six World Tour and PGA Tour events since the end of August, including two victories.</p>

<h2><strong>Tom Kim</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+3000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Kim has some upside heading into The Sentry after a T5 finish last year.</p>

<p>He also had a good fall in the four World Tour and PGA events he played in. He successfully defended his Shriners Children&rsquo;s Open title and had Top 20 finishes in his other three events.</p>

<p>Kim is sixth on my spreadsheet as a&nbsp;strong course fit.</p>

<h2><strong>Akshay Bhatia</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+15000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Bhatia reached The Sentry with his win at the Barracuda Classic in July.</p>

<p>But he has shown a penchant of playing well on courses near the ocean. He has a second and three other Top 20s during the 2022-23 season on ocean courses.</p>

<p>Bhatia is fifth on my spreadsheet as a strong course fit.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></em></strong></p>

 The PGA Tour begins the 2024 season in its usual place &ndash; Hawaii.The Top 50 from last year&rsquo;s points list along with PGA Tour winners head to the Plantation Course at Kapalua for The Sentry (par 73, 7,596 yards).I ran a little unlucky tryi

PGA Tour: The Sentry - Danny's Bets to Win

<p>It was a nice bounce-back week for a betting Christmas gift last weekend for me as I&nbsp;finished with <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1604/nfl-week-16-dannys-best-bets">a 4-1 record with my Best Bets</a>.</p>

<p>However I was not as fortunate in two of my home fantasy leagues. I lost in the semifinal round in both leagues, including a gut-wrenching loss by 0.1 point on on Gus Edwards&rsquo; 13-yard run on the last play&nbsp;in the Baltimore&rsquo;s big road win vs. San Francisco.</p>

<p>It&rsquo;s down to the final two weeks of the regular season &ndash; so hopefully, I can continue a strong run betting into the playoffs.</p>

<p><strong>Last Week: </strong>4-1&nbsp;(.800)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 41-38-1 (.519)</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Join our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget to<a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos"> visit our sponsors </a>and check out their sign-up bonuses for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 17 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>San Francisco at Washington</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Washington +14 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Christian McCaffrey over 85.5 yards rushing on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Taking the Commanders at home against the spread this year has been very unprofitable.</p>

<p>Washington is currently 0-5-1 ATS at home this season&nbsp;and now faces one of top teams in the league vs. the 49ers.</p>

<p>However, in their last 5 visits to the nation&rsquo;s capital, San Fran have beaten the Commanders by 14 points only once, and Washington has also won 2 of those 5 games.</p>

<p>Now for the CMC rushing line, it may be too low.</p>

<p>McCaffrey has rushed for more than 85.5 yards in 6 out of last 7 games. He has averaged 106.1 yards a game during that stretch.</p>

<p>The Commanders have been awful against the run in their last three games, giving up 161.0 yards a game.</p>

<h2><strong>New Orleans at Tampa Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Derek Carr over 242.5 yards passing on BetRivers</strong></h3>

<p>Carr appears to be finally healthy and it&rsquo;s showing in his play.</p>

<p>He has thrown for 3 TDs in each of the last two games and threw for more 300 yards in the Saints&rsquo; loss to the LA Rams last week.</p>

<p>Now he faces the Buccaneers&rsquo; pass-funnel defense.</p>

<p>Tampa Bay has given up 289.0 yards a game in their last 3 and gave up 268 yards passing last week vs. Jacksonville.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Rams at NY Giants</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Cooper Kupp over 65.5 receiving yards on PointsBet</strong></h3>

<p>This has the feel of a sucker bet, but I&rsquo;ll take the bait.</p>

<p>Kupp has surpassed 100 yards receiving in two of his last three games, and he has had success vs. the Giants in the past.</p>

<p>He finished with 9 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns in the teams&rsquo; last meeting in 2021.</p>

<p>Plus, the Giants are giving up 128.5 yards receiving to WRs in their last four games.</p>

<h2><strong>Miami at Baltimore</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Under 47 points on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>This line has dropped a half point on Friday on some of the sportsbooks, and you need to take it now before it drops more.</p>

<p>And here are some of the reasons why the line may continue to fall.</p>

<p>Miami&rsquo;s Jaylen Waddle is out, and four of the Dolphins&rsquo; offensive lineman have injury designations going into the game.</p>

<p>And the Ravens are coming off a short week and big road win.</p>

<p>In the teams&rsquo; last 10 meetings, they have failed to score 47 or more points in seven of them.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 It was a nice bounce-back week for a betting Christmas gift last weekend for me as I&nbsp;finished with a 4-1 record with my Best Bets.However I was not as fortunate in two of my home fantasy leagues. I lost in the semifinal round in both leagues, i

NFL Week 17 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>Bah, humbug!</p>

<p>I&rsquo;m feeling a little Grinchy after last week&rsquo;s debacle with my Best Bets picks.</p>

<p>It marked my second losing week in a row as <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1602/nfl-week-15-dannys-best-bets">I finished with a 1-4 record last week</a>. The search for the perfect week continues to elude me.</p>

<p>So forgive me if I&rsquo;m scroogish heading into the holiday weekend.</p>

<p>But there is only one way to go from here &ndash; UP!</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 1-4 (.200)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 37-37-1 (.500)</p>

<p>Join our Discord and our NFL premium service to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 16 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Buffalo at LA Chargers</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>James Cook over 96.5 yards combined receiving and rushing on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>Since Joe Brady took over as Buffalo&rsquo;s offensive coordinator in Week 11, Cook has been on fire.</p>

<p>Cook has averaged 141 yards a game for combined rushing and receiving yards.</p>

<p>During this run, Cook has amassed 353 yards rushing while adding 16 catches for 211 yards. He also has 4 touchdowns during the span.</p>

<p>The Chargers have given up 126 yards rushing a game in in their last 3.</p>

<h2><strong>Seattle at Tennessee</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tennessee +3.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Derrick Henry over 60.5 yards rushing on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>The Titans are 17-9 vs. the NFC since Mike Vrabel took over as the head coach in 2018.</p>

<p>In the teams&rsquo; last two matchups, Tennessee has scored 33 points in both games and secured two wins.</p>

<p>The Titans also rank as one of the top defenses this week on my DFS spreadsheet.</p>

<p>And yes, Henry is having a down year by his standards, but this total is way too low for what he has accomplished vs. NFC foes at home.</p>

<p>He has surpassed 60.5 yards rushing in 5 out of his last 6 games in home games vs. NFC opponents.</p>

<p>During that span, he has averaged 84.3 yards rushing in those six games.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at Minnesota</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Nick Mullens over 260.5 yards passing on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Mullens, making his first start since 2021 last week, almost led the Vikings to a road win vs. Bengals, before falling overtime.</p>

<p>Now the Vikings return home, a place where Justin Jefferson shines.</p>

<p>Mullens will have the benefit of a healthier Jefferson and the continued strong play by rookie WR Jordan Addison. And we could add in the revenge narrative for T.J. Hockenson.</p>

<p>And the Lions defense&rsquo;s weakness is their pass defense.</p>

<p>Detroit is a middling pass defensive team, allowing 225 yards a game, but it gives up 251 yards passing on the road.</p>

<p>Give me Mullens leading the Vikings to a must win game with his arm!</p>

<h2><strong>Dallas at Miami</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Under 50.5 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>How healthy Tyreek Hill&rsquo;s ankle is on Sunday may determine how many points are scored in this game.</p>

<p>Hill was a limited participant on Thursday on Friday and is questionable for the game with a lingering ankle injury.</p>

<p>But even if he plays, Dallas offense has struggled in outdoor games this season.</p>

<p>The Cowboys are Top 6 offense in the NFL this season, averaging 368.1 yards a game, but in games played outdoors, Dallas has only averaged 274.8 yards a game.</p>

<p><strong><em>F<span style="color:black">ollow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 Bah, humbug!I&rsquo;m feeling a little Grinchy after last week&rsquo;s debacle with my Best Bets picks.It marked my second losing week in a row as I finished with a 1-4 record last week. The search for the perfect week continues to elude me.So forgi

NFL Week 16 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>The process was correct but the results were not.</p>

<p>Tried and proven method when putting on the bettor&rsquo;s cap.</p>

<p>Last week <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1600/nfl-week-14-dannys-best-bets">I fell short of a winning week </a>as Seattle couldn&rsquo;t keep up with San Francisco&rsquo;s scoring to miss my over 46.5 points call, and Philadelphia kept turning the ball over vs. Dallas, limiting CeeDee Lamb&rsquo;s upside for receptions. I had him over 7.5 receptions and he finished with 6.</p>

<p>The beauty of betting where you see the path to righteousness but it veers off course.</p>

<p>Onto a new week!</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 2-3 (.400)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 36-33-1 (.521)</p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 15 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p><strong>Pittsburgh at Indianapolis</strong></p>

<p><strong>Pittsburgh +2.5 on Caesars Sportsbook</strong></p>

<p>I completely understand why the Colts are favored as Mitch Trubisky and the Steelers offense was awful last week.</p>

<p>But Pittsburgh has owned Indianapolis in recent years.</p>

<p>The Steelers are on an 8-game win streak vs. the Colts with the winning margin of 11.5 in those eight games.</p>

<p>Plus, the public is all over Indianapolis.</p>

<p><strong>Atlanta at Carolina</strong></p>

<p><strong>Bijan Robinson over 61.5 yards rushing on BetRivers</strong></p>

<p>The Falcons had their way running the ball vs. the Panthers in their Week 1 matchup.</p>

<p>But since that matchup Bijan has finally taken over the majority of the touches in the Atlanta backfield. He has played 60 percent or more of the snaps in six games.</p>

<p>Plus, the Panthers continue to be in the bottom third of the league vs. the run.</p>

<p><strong>Tampa Bay at Green Bay</strong></p>

<p><strong>Jordan Love over 246.5 yards passing on BetRivers</strong></p>

<p>Yes, Love looked awful in the Packers&rsquo; Monday Night loss to the NY Giants, but in his four games prior, he was averaging 286.5 yards passing.</p>

<p>The Buccaneers are a bottom 3 team vs. the pass, allowing 264.1 yards a game. And their average on the road is worse at 298.9 yards a game.</p>

<p>Love will enough receivers healthy to take advantage of Tampa&rsquo;s pass funnel defense.</p>

<p><strong>NY Giants at New Orleans</strong></p>

<p><strong>Over 39 on DraftKings</strong></p>

<p>Let&rsquo;s look at the pros for this game.</p>

<ol>
	<li>Dome game</li>
	<li>Two non-division opponents</li>
	<li>Seven out of their last 10 matchups has scored more than 39 points.</li>
</ol>

<p>And we cannot forget their crazy 2015 matchup where the two teams combined for 101 points. In that game, Eli Manning and Drew Brees combined to throw 13 TD passes.</p>

<p><strong>Washington at LA Rams</strong></p>

<p><strong>Over 49 on Caesars Sportsbook</strong></p>

<p>There is no&nbsp;history that we will see a lot points in this game, but both team&rsquo;s passing defenses are giving more than 250 yards a game in each of their last three.</p>

<p>The Rams&rsquo; Matthew Stafford has averaged 248 yards passing and thrown 10 TDs since returning from injury four games ago, and Washington continues to throw at the highest clip in the league, averaging 39.2 attempts a game.</p>

<p>And this game is in the comfy confines of SoFi Stadium.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 The process was correct but the results were not.Tried and proven method when putting on the bettor&rsquo;s cap.Last week I fell short of a winning week as Seattle couldn&rsquo;t keep up with San Francisco&rsquo;s scoring to miss my over 46.5 points

NFL Week 15 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>It is that time of year where everyone is in Christmas shopping mode, but it&rsquo;s also important to shop for the best odds you can find when making your bets for the weekend.</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1598/nfl-week-13-dannys-best-bets">Thanks to finding New England last week at +6 on Caesars Sportsbook</a>, I was able to survive the week with a better record. It helps the overall average (and bankroll)&nbsp;for the season with one less loss.</p>

<p>But the shopping this week has been tight, and I&rsquo;m still searching for my first perfect week of the season (perfect as in 5-0).</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 3-1-1 (.700)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 34-30-1 (.531)</p>

<p>Join <a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

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<p>Now onto NFL Week 14 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Indianapolis at Cincinnati</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Joe Mixon over 85.5 combined rushing-receiving yards on BetRivers</strong></h3>

<p>A lot of bettors and DFS players will be eyeing QB Jake Browning after his big game last Monday night, but I&rsquo;m looking at Mixon to have a big day in a game with plenty of playoff implications.</p>

<p>In his career, Mixon has surpassed the 85.5 combined yards 2 out of 3 times vs. the Colts.</p>

<p>This Colts team is a bottom 10 defense vs. the run this season, giving up 133.3 yards a game. And Indianapolis has seen an uptick in rushing yards allowed in its last three games, giving up 156.3.</p>

<h2><strong>Buffalo at Kansas City</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 48.5 points on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>These two teams and fan bases do not like each other as the Chiefs have eliminated the Bills from the playoffs twice in the last three seasons.</p>

<p>And this game falls on the shoulders of the quarterbacks.</p>

<p>Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen has faced each other five times in the last four seasons, and in those five games, the teams have averaged 57 points a game.</p>

<p>And the weather looks perfect for another shootout!</p>

<h2><strong>Philadelphia at Dallas</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>CeeDee Lamb over 7.5 receptions on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Lamb has surpassed this total in 4 of his last 6 games, and in the two games he had less than 8 catches, they were Dallas blowout wins.</p>

<p>He has seen at least 9 targets in his last 6 games, and the Eagles continue to be one of the league&rsquo;s worst pass defenses.</p>

<p>Philadelphia has given up 270 yards passing a game in their last three games.</p>

<p>The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite and the game has a total of 51.5, the highest total of the weekend, which should allow Lamb to see another double-digit target game.</p>

<h2><strong>Seattle at San Francisco</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 46.5 points on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Deebo Samuel over 69.5 combined rushing-receiving yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Both teams&rsquo; offenses seem to be back on track after midseason swoons.</p>

<p>The 49ers have averaged 33.5 points a game during their 4-game winning streak since their bye.</p>

<p>The Seahawks scored their most points since Week 3 in their 41-35 loss to Dallas a week and a half ago.</p>

<p>In their last 10 games, the teams have combined to score more than 47 points in 7 games, and the winning team has averaged 29.8 points in their last five matchups in San Fran.</p>

<p>Samuel will be hard pressed to repeat his 3-touchdown, 138 total yards performance vs. the Eagles, but he has found plenty of success vs. Seattle.</p>

<p>He has never been below this week&rsquo;s mark of 69.5 against the Seahawks in five games. He has averaged 119 total yards a game in those matchups.</p>

<p>You better grab this line as fast as you can!</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 It is that time of year where everyone is in Christmas shopping mode, but it&rsquo;s also important to shop for the best odds you can find when making your bets for the weekend.Thanks to finding New England last week at +6 on Caesars Sportsbook, I w

NFL Week 14 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>The NFL is a game of inches &ndash; as in the case of my over bet last week in the Jacksonville-Houston game, about a one foot.</p>

<p>The Texans&rsquo; Matt Ammendola 58-yard field goal attempt hit the crossbar&nbsp;as time expired in Houston&rsquo;s 24-21 loss to the Jaguars. If he had made the kick, the over would <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1596/nfl-week-12-dannys-best-bets">have cleared 47.5 points</a>.</p>

<p>And for the second straight week, a tight end finished one catch short for his over. Dalton Kincaid stung me last week as he finished with 5 receptions when his middle was 5.5.</p>

<p>Close but inches away!</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 2-3 (.400)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 31-29 (.517)</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Join our Discord and our NFL premium service </a>to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget to <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">visit our sponsors</a>&nbsp;and check out their sign-up bonuses for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 13 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Chargers at New England</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>New England +6 on Caesars Sportsbook </strong></h3>

<p>This is one of those West Coast teams playing at 1 p.m. on the East Coast type play.</p>

<p>Then I took a deeper dive into this game.</p>

<p>Since the Patriots became the New England Patriots in the early 1970s (they used to be called the Boston Patriots), the Chargers are 1-10 when they travel to New England. That is <em><strong>STRAIGHT UP</strong></em>&nbsp;not against the spread.</p>

<p>Plus, the Chargers offense may not be as potent with its wounded receiving corps.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at New Orleans</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 45.5 points on Caesars Sportsbook</strong></h3>

<p>When these two face each other, we usually see plenty of offense.</p>

<p>The two have combined for more than 45.5 points in 8 out of their last 10 matchups.</p>

<p>The winning team has averaged 35.0 points in those last 10 matchups.</p>

<h2><strong>Atlanta at NY Jets</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>NY Jets +2.5 on Caesars Sportsbook</strong></h3>

<p>This is one of those lines that just screams a public play.</p>

<p>And it&rsquo;s not wrong as about two-thirds of early betting is on the favorite Falcons.</p>

<p>That is just one reason I&rsquo;m taking the Jets, but the second reason is Atlanta has a 2-8 straight up record in their last 10 games not played in a dome.</p>

<h2><strong>Carolina at Tampa Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Mike Evans over 62.5 yards receiving on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Evans has made a living feasting on the Carolina defense in his last six games.</p>

<p>He has averaged 111.5 yards a game during that stretch, including last year&rsquo;s game in Tampa where he had 10 catches for 207 yards and 3 TDs.</p>

<p>He has surpassed 62.5 yards receiving in 10 out of 17 career games vs. the Panthers.</p>

<h2><strong>San Francisco at Philadelphia</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Christian McCaffrey over 106.5 yards rushing and receiving combined on BetRivers</strong></h3>

<p>McCaffrey has only faced the Eagles twice in the regular season, and both times it was with Carolina.</p>

<p>Philly was able to slow down CMC in those two games.</p>

<p>But when these two battled last year in the NFC Championship, McCaffrey finished with 106 yards rushing and receiving combined in a game where Brock Purdy missed most of the contest.</p>

<p>Purdy and the rest of the 49ers offense is healthy now, but the 49ers success still starts with McCaffrey.</p>

<p>CMC has eclipsed more than 106.5 yards rushing and receiving combined in 7 out of 11 games this season.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 The NFL is a game of inches &ndash; as in the case of my over bet last week in the Jacksonville-Houston game, about a one foot.The Texans&rsquo; Matt Ammendola 58-yard field goal attempt hit the crossbar&nbsp;as time expired in Houston&rsquo;s 24-21

NFL Week 13 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>I knew the run would end sooner or later, but I just wish it wasn&rsquo;t with a dud for <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1594/nfl-week-11-dannys-best-bets">my Week 11 &ndash; Best Bets picks</a>.</p>

<p>For the second time in three weeks, an injury provided one my losses as Cooper Kupp left the game early with a sprained ankle. He finished with only 11 yards receiving.</p>

<p>But the one that really burned me was my Cole Kmet over 3.5 receptions play. Kmet recorded his third catch with 4:02 minutes left in the first quarter.</p>

<p>From that point, Kmet saw only one more target, also in the first quarter.</p>

<p>Oh the agony of poor play calling!</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 1-4 (.200)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 29-26 (.527)</p>

<p>Join <a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget to <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">visit our sponsors</a> and check out their sign-up bonuses for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 12 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!</p>

<h2><strong>Jacksonville at Houston</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 47.5 points on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Evan Engram over 4.5 receptions on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I&rsquo;m going to double dip on this game, which has the second highest total for the Week 12 weekend games.</p>

<p>The Texans smacked the Jaguars, 37-17, during Week 3 in Jacksonville.</p>

<p>In the first matchup, Houston jumped to a 17-0 first-half lead, but Jacksonville battled back to cut it to 17-10 early in the third. The Texans returned the ensuing kickoff to put the game out of reach.</p>

<p>In their last five matchups, the winning team has scored the 30 points or more in four out of five games. Both teams have surpassed 30 points four times this season.</p>

<p>Expect some offensive fireworks!</p>

<p>Engram has recorded 6 receptions or more in two out of his three matchups vs. the Texans in a Jaguars uniform.</p>

<p>The only game he didn&rsquo;t eclipse the 4.5 reception mark was during Jacksonville&rsquo;s 31-3 blowout in Week 17 last season.</p>

<h2><strong>Tampa Bay at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 44.5 points on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The beauty of non-conference games in a dome late in the season.</p>

<p>These games are a DFS player&rsquo;s dream and ours, too, with total only 44.5 points.</p>

<p>These two have combined to score 69 or more points in their last two meetings.</p>

<p>The Buccaneers&rsquo; pass-funnel defense enters the game ranked 31st in pass defense, while the Colts give up 263 yards passing in their home games this season.</p>

<p>The teams also combine for 69.1 pass attempts a game this season.</p>

<h2><strong>Cleveland at Denver </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Under 37 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The Browns will give rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson his third start of the season, but unless the coaching staff can figure out how to throw downfield, the Cleveland offense may sputter.</p>

<p>The Broncos may still have the worst defense statistically in the league, but it has played better on that side of the ball recently.</p>

<p>As for the Cleveland defense, it continues to lead the league in yards allowed a game at 243.3 yards a game. That mark is 30 yards better than Baltimore&rsquo;s 2nd-ranked defense.</p>

<h2><strong>Buffalo at Philadelphia</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Dalton Kincaid over 5.5 receptions on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>During the last four games, Kincaid has become Josh Allen&rsquo;s second-favor target just behind Stefon Diggs.</p>

<p>Diggs has seen 32 targets, while Kincaid has seen 31.</p>

<p>But it has been Kincaid who has been hauling in those targets. He has 26 catches compared to Diggs&rsquo; 22. That is 6.5 receptions a game for Kincaid.</p>

<p>Add in the fact the Eagles are a bottom 5 team against the pass and are one of the worse pass defenses vs. TEs.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

<p><span style="color:blue"><u><strong><em><span style="color:black"><a href="https://betkarma.com/prizepicks-predictor?afmc=Fantasyfbguru2" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline"><span style="color:black">Also check out our PrizePicks Predictor!</span></a></span></em></strong></u></span></p>

 I knew the run would end sooner or later, but I just wish it wasn&rsquo;t with a dud for my Week 11 &ndash; Best Bets picks.For the second time in three weeks, an injury provided one my losses as Cooper Kupp left the game early with a sprained ankle

NFL Week 12 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>Let&rsquo;s keep this thing rolling!</p>

<p>For second week in a row, I rattled off a 4-1 record in my Best Bets.</p>

<p>The only loss was Derrick Henry finishing for only one reception when I had him for over 1.5 receptions. It should have been an easy winner since the Tennessee trailed most of the game.</p>

<p>But I can&#39;t complain as I&rsquo;m on an 11-4 run the last three weeks - so let&rsquo;s keep this rolling!</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 4-1 (.800)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 28-22 (.560)</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Join our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget<a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos"> to visit our sponsors</a> and check out their sign-up bonuses for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 11 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2>Chicago at Detroit</h2>

<h3>Cole Kmet over 3.5 receptions on FanDuel</h3>

<p>D.J. Moore may have had the big games earlier in the season, but Cole Kmet is still Justin Fields&rsquo; favorite target.</p>

<p>Kmet has averaged 4.6 receptions and 5.8 targets this season when Fields has played a complete game. And Fields is returning this weekend vs. Lions.</p>

<p>The Lions have given up 4 or more receptions to TEs in every game this season.</p>

<h2>LA Chargers at Green Bay</h2>

<h3>Austin Ekeler over 3.5 receptions on FanDuel</h3>

<p>Ekeler may be the workhorse on Sunday as most of the Chargers receiving corps enter the game with an injury designation.</p>

<p>He is averaging 5.8 targets a game this season and the Packers have given up 6.5 receptions a game to running backs in their last four.</p>

<p>Ekeler&rsquo;s receiving prowess is too hard to ignore in this matchup.</p>

<h2>Minnesota at Denver</h2>

<h3>Minnesota +2.5 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>I believe&nbsp;the Vikings may have something a little special going on.</p>

<p>They won their last two games without Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson, and Jefferson may return from IR on Sunday. Jefferson remained limited all three practice days this week.</p>

<p>Even if he doesn&rsquo;t return, the offense has continued to churn out victories.</p>

<p>The Broncos defense is still the worst in the NFL despite their recent resurgence. They give up 401.8 a game this season.</p>

<h2>Seattle at LA Rams</h2>

<h3>Cooper Kupp over 77.5 yards receiving on BetRivers</h3>

<p>This season has been a struggle for Kupp.</p>

<p>He started the year in the IR with a hamstring injury and then he lost starting QB Matthew Stafford during the Dallas game in Week 8.</p>

<p>Now Stafford returns and the Seahawks are the perfect opponent to have a get-right game for Kupp.</p>

<p>The Seahawks gave up 288 passing yards last week to Washington, and they allowed Stafford to throw for more than 300 yards in their first matchup without Kupp.</p>

<p>Kupp had a day in his last home meeting vs. Seattle in 2021, finishing with 9 catches for 136 yards and two TDs.</p>

<h2>Philadelphia at Kansas City</h2>

<h3>Over 45.5 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>The matchup we have been waiting for since the regular season schedule was announced &ndash; the battle of last year&rsquo;s Super Bowl teams.</p>

<p>The Chiefs are a bit different team from last season, relying more on their defense to win games, but the Eagles offensive versatility will test that defense.</p>

<p>The Eagles, who average 28 points a game, should be able to score, forcing Patrick Mahomes and KC offense to keep up.</p>

<p>These two have averaged 62 points a game in their last three matchups.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 Let&rsquo;s keep this thing rolling!For second week in a row, I rattled off a 4-1 record in my Best Bets.The only loss was Derrick Henry finishing for only one reception when I had him for over 1.5 receptions. It should have been an easy winner sinc

NFL Week 11 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>Let&rsquo;s try this one more time!</p>

<p>The PGA Tour 2022-23 season is coming to a close with The RSM Classic at Sea Island Resort.</p>

<p>All five of my Bet to Win picks made the cut last week, but none were able to stay in contention for the weekend.</p>

<p>So one final try!</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Click here to get all our Premium Bets!</a></p>

<p>Onto my Bet to Win picks!</p>

<h2>Russell Henley</h2>

<h3>+1600 on BetMGM</h3>

<p>Henley hasn&rsquo;t played since the Tour Championship and may be a little rusty.</p>

<p>But the courses at Sea Island are right in Henley wheelhouse &ndash; strong accurate approach play.</p>

<h2>J.T. Poston</h2>

<h3>+3000 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>Poston has played once during the Fall Series and finished tied for third.</p>

<p>His elite accuracy and approach play is the perfect blend for the courses at Sea Island.</p>

<h2>Adam Svensson</h2>

<h3>+4000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Svensson is the defending champion and has played well during the Fall Series.</p>

<p>He has made the cut all four of his events, including two Top 20 finishes.</p>

<h2>Akshay Bhatia</h2>

<h3>+5500 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>Bhatia has three straight Top 25 finishes, including a 20th-place finish last week at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.</p>

<p>He finished 45th at last year&rsquo;s The RSM Classic after shooting a 73 in his first round.</p>

<h2>Satoshi Kodaira</h2>

<h3>+35000 on FanDuel</h3>

<p>Kodaira was in contention last week at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, but fell off on Sunday with 70.</p>

<p>If he can put 4 rounds together, he will be on contention again this week.</p>

<p>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></p>

 Let&rsquo;s try this one more time!The PGA Tour 2022-23 season is coming to a close with The RSM Classic at Sea Island Resort.All five of my Bet to Win picks made the cut last week, but none were able to stay in contention for the weekend.So one fin

PGA Best Bets - The RSM Classic

<p>I really enjoy this time of year &ndash; especially for my NFL Week 10 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p>The weather is finally getting cooler, Thanksgiving is right around the corner and I can start listening to Christmas music (That&rsquo;s right, I LOVE Christmas music, especially my Frank Sinatra (Holiday) channel on Pandora).</p>

<p>But when it comes to my picks, NFL is half way through the season, allowing me to be able to hone in on better plays.</p>

<p>Last week, <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1588/nfl-week-9-dannys-best-bets">I went 4-1 with my only loss</a> coming when Minnesota QB Jaren Hall was hurt early with 11 rushing yards. I had over 15.5 yards rushing for him, and hopefully, your book voided the bet but for record keeping here, I&rsquo;m counting it as a loss.</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 4-1 (.800)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 24-21 (.533)</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Join our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">to visit our sponsors</a> and check out their sign-up bonuses for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 10 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p><strong>Tennessee at Tampa Bay</strong></p>

<p><strong>Derrick Henry over 1.5 receptions on Bet365</strong></p>

<p>I know this is an unusual take for King Henry but he has been active in the passing game again this season.</p>

<p>Henry had a career-high 32 catches last season and he&rsquo;s on his way to surpass that mark this season.</p>

<p>In his last four games, Henry has averaged 3 receptions a game and has been targeted 13 times.</p>

<p><strong>Green Bay at Pittsburgh</strong></p>

<p><strong>Pittsburgh -3 on DraftKings</strong></p>

<p>The Steelers continue to win ugly, thanks mainly to their bend-but-don&rsquo;t-break defense.</p>

<p>But now the Packers come to town after an unimpressive win vs. the Matthew Stafford-less LA Rams.</p>

<p>One the thing the Steelers can do well is produce turnovers. They are currently plus-8 on the season, tied for third in the league.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s one thing Jordan Love can do &ndash; throw interceptions. He&rsquo;s tied for fifth in the league with 8.</p>

<p>Plus the last time the Packers won in Pittsburgh was in 1970.</p>

<p><strong>Houston at Cincinnati</strong></p>

<p><strong>Dalton Schultz over 48.5 yards receiving on FanDuel</strong></p>

<p>The Bengals come into this game giving up 19 catches for 230 yards receiving to tight ends in their last two games.</p>

<p>For the season, Cincinnati allows 63.1 yards receiving a game from the TE spot.</p>

<p>Schultz has averaged 60.6 yards receiving in his last five games, and the Texans may be without their top WR Nico Collins.</p>

<p><strong>Washington at Seattle &nbsp;</strong></p>

<p><strong>Over 44.5 points on DraftKings</strong></p>

<p>I&rsquo;ve kept trying to do the math on this game and the answer has kept me puzzled.</p>

<p>These two have eclipsed 44 points once in their last 10 matchups &ndash; so why is the middle 44.5 points for this game?</p>

<p>It all comes down to the Commanders.</p>

<p>Their defense is ranked 28th in passing yards allowed a game at 252.7, and their offense passes the ball 69.8 percent of the time.</p>

<p>There is are going to be plenty of balls in the air in&nbsp;this game which should translate into points.</p>

<p><strong>Detroit at LA Chargers</strong></p>

<p><strong>Amon-Ra St. Brown over 6.5 receptions on BetMGM</strong></p>

<p>The Sun God has been on a tear recently in road game for the Lions.</p>

<p>He has 25 receptions in Detroit&rsquo;s last two road games and averages 9 catches on the road this year.</p>

<p>Now he faces a Chargers defense which allows a league-high 285 yards passing a game, including 13 receptions a game to WRs.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 I really enjoy this time of year &ndash; especially for my NFL Week 10 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.The weather is finally getting cooler, Thanksgiving is right around the corner and I can start listening to Christmas music (That&rsquo;s right, I

<p>One quick lesson when betting golf &ndash; don&rsquo;t get caught up in early round excitement!</p>

<p>This was one of the items I had to learn when playing PGA DFS and betting on golf. It only takes one hole or one round to erase the hopes of successful weekend.</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1587/pga-best-bets-world-wide-technology-championship">Stephan Jaeger and Nick Lashley played well early at the World Wide Technology Championship</a> before fading on Friday or the weekend.</p>

<p>Plus it would help if all five of my golfers made the cut. Only Jaeger, Lashley and Lucas Glover made the cut but none were in contention for the weekend.</p>

<p>There are only two more chances, starting with this week&rsquo;s Butterfield Bermuda Championship, to bring home a nice Bet to Win play.</p>

<p><strong><em><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Click here to get all our Premium Bets!</a></em></strong></p>

<p>Onto my Bets to Win picks!</p>

<h2><strong>Brendon Todd</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+1800 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Todd is also my top DFS play and he has the moxie to contend on a Port Royal Golf Course along the ocean.</p>

<p>Todd had a 2nd-place finish earlier this season at the AT&amp;T Pebble Beach Pro-Am as the event was plagued by wind and weather.</p>

<h2><strong>Ben Griffin</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+2500 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>When I compiled my spreadsheet, I did not know Griffin had a T3 during last fall&rsquo;s Butterfield Bermuda Championship.</p>

<p>That stats makes me feel even better after my spreadsheet has him as a Top 10 play in DFS.</p>

<h2><strong>Justin Lower</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+6000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Lower is another golfer who played well last year at fall Butterfield Bermuda event. He finished with a T8.</p>

<p>He comes into the event ranked in my Top 20 on my spreadsheet and his odds number is a hard to pass up.</p>

<h2><strong>Kevin Yu</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+6600 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>If Yu could find his putter stroke, he&rsquo;s going to be scary.</p>

<p>He is another guy who played well last year at Butterfield Bermuda with a T3. He is also in my Top 20 on my spreadsheet.</p>

<h2><strong>Andrew Novak </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+8000 BetMGM </strong></h3>

<p>Novak is another guy in my spreadsheet&rsquo;s Top 20 and had a Top 20 finish last year in the Butterfield Bermuda.</p>

<p>Novak had a T17 finish and shot a 5-under during his final round last year.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></em></strong></p>

 One quick lesson when betting golf &ndash; don&rsquo;t get caught up in early round excitement!This was one of the items I had to learn when playing PGA DFS and betting on golf. It only takes one hole or one round to erase the hopes of successful we

PGA Best Bets - Butterfield Bermuda Championship

<p>It&rsquo;s been one of those days, and hopefully, my NFL Week 9 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets don&rsquo;t feel the same effect.</p>

<p>I told one my co-workers at my regular job that I felt a little off, and when I get that feeling my concentration levels can fluctuate from super focused to completely forgetting what I&rsquo;m doing.</p>

<p>Oh the joys of getting older!</p>

<p>At least my Best Bets didn&rsquo;t age me last week as <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1584/nfl-week-8-dannys-best-bets">I finished with a 3-2 record</a> with Alvin Kamara coming one more reception away from me finishing with a 4-1 week.</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 3-2 (.600)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 20-20 (.500)</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Join our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses </a>for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 9 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Miami vs. Kansas City (in Germany)</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tyreek Hill over 6.5 receptions on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Hill has averaged 10.9 targets a game this season and now faces his old team for the first time since he was traded to Miami last offseason.</p>

<p>In his last three games, Hill has seen 38 targets and has 25 receptions.</p>

<p>A little trash talk and a friendly revenge should motivate Hill to prove to his old team that he is &ldquo;the best WR in the league.&rdquo;</p>

<h2><strong>Minnesota at Atlanta</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Jaren Hall over 15.5 rushing on Bet365</strong></h3>

<p>Hall has the ability to run as he averaged 29.9 yards rushing a game during his final 2 seasons at BYU.</p>

<p>A lot of times young QBs who have ran in the past tend to do what is comfortable. And the Minnesota offensive coaching staff is smart enough to put in him in those comfortable situations.</p>

<p>His 4.62 in the 40 is not slow by QB standards but we can&rsquo;t confuse Hall with Lamar Jackson.</p>

<h2><strong>Tampa Bay at Houston</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 40 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The middle for this game has already been bumped up two points from its opening of 38, and I think it is still not high enough.</p>

<p>Tampa Bay ranks 10th in pass rate at 60.3 percent this season. In their last three games, that number has jumped to 70.7.</p>

<p>Houston will be without starting RB Dameon Pierce, and the Texans are shown they are not afraid to let QB C.J. Stroud lead the offense. Houston has averaged 33.9 passes a game this season.</p>

<h2><strong>Dallas at Philadelphia</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 46.5 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Dak Prescott over 1.5 TD passes on BetRivers</strong></h3>

<p>With the league mired with a plethora second-string QBs starting in Week 9, this game will feature two elite QBs and offenses.</p>

<p>Dallas is a coming off of two big wins and Prescott has found his form, throwing for 5 TDs in those wins.</p>

<p>The Eagles&rsquo; pass offense has been elite as well. Jalen Hurts has averaged 296.2 yards passing in his last six game after a slow start.</p>

<p>In the teams&rsquo; last three meetings, the Cowboys have averaged 36 points and the Eagles have averaged 28.7 points.</p>

<p>Prescott has thrown 11 TD passes in his last three games vs. the Eagles.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 It&rsquo;s been one of those days, and hopefully, my NFL Week 9 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets don&rsquo;t feel the same effect.I told one my co-workers at my regular job that I felt a little off, and when I get that feeling my concentration levels

<p>Well, it was good run at the Zozo Championship for my Bet to Wins plays.</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1580/pga-best-bets-zozo-championship">Three of my 5 golfers </a>finished in the Top 10, but none could catch Colin Morikawa, who won by six strokes at 14-under.</p>

<p>This week the Fall Schedule heads to Mexico for the World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal at Diamante. This is the first course the PGA will hold an event that Tiger Woods designed.</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Click here to get all our Premium Bets!</a></p>

<p>Let&rsquo;s get right into my PGA Bets to Win!</p>

<h2>Stephan Jaeger</h2>

<h3>+2800 at Bet365</h3>

<p>Jaeger continues to move into the pre-tournament darkhorse to win territory, but continues to fall short.</p>

<p>That bad luck has to end at some point &ndash; so why not now.</p>

<p>He has Top 20s for my four course fit categories, and if he can find a consistent putter on the big greens, he could find himself in contention.</p>

<h2>Lucas Glover</h2>

<h3>+3000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Glover was the Tour darling at the end of the season as he rattled off two wins after a long win drought.</p>

<p>Why can&rsquo;t he do it again?</p>

<p>The weaken field gives Glover a chance for win No. 3 in less than five months. He fits well in 3 of my 4 course fit categories with his only lacking is par-5 scoring.</p>

<h2>Peter Kuest</h2>

<h3>+8000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>Kuest continues to disappoint on the DFS realm but he does have the skillset to win a tournament.</p>

<p>He hits the ball long, good with his approach and putts well &ndash; a great combination to bring home a victory.</p>

<p>He enters this tournament ranked in the Top 20 for 3 of my 4 course fits, including Top 6s overall on Tour in all 3.</p>

<h2>Nick Lashley</h2>

<h3>+10000 on Bet365</h3>

<p>Lashley is another golfer who fits all 4 course fit categories, but his lack distance on off tee on the spacious fairways could hurt.</p>

<p>But if he can put four good rounds together, he should be contend.</p>

<h2>Isaiah Salinda</h2>

<h3>+30000 on DraftKings</h3>

<p>He earned his spot for the WWTC with his Top 10 finish at the Shiners Children&rsquo;s Open as a Monday qualifier.</p>

<p>He went on to shoot four rounds under 69 for a 7th-place finish.</p>

<p>Maybe he&rsquo;ll springboard that play into a possible run at an event win.</p>

<p>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></p>

 Well, it was good run at the Zozo Championship for my Bet to Wins plays.Three of my 5 golfers finished in the Top 10, but none could catch Colin Morikawa, who won by six strokes at 14-under.This week the Fall Schedule heads to Mexico for the World W

PGA Best Bets - World Wide Technology Championship

<p>Well, it was nice to get two wins last week but my slide has lasted two weeks now.</p>

<p>I have a good feeling my NFL Week 8 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets are going to have a fruitful week.</p>

<p>Last week could have seen <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1581/nfl-week-7-dannys-best-bets">me plod through another 1-4 week</a>, but thanks to Kansas City scoring a late fourth-quarter touchdown saved me on the over the 47.5. The Chiefs won, 31-17.</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 2-3 (.400)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 17-18 (.486)</p>

<p>Join our Discord and<a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing"> our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget<a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos"> to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses</a> for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 8 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Atlanta at Tennessee</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tennessee +3 on Unibet</strong></h3>

<p>The line for this contest started with the Titans as the favorites but has flipped after QB Ryan Tannehill was ruled out.</p>

<p>Tennessee will use both Malik Willis and Will Levis at QB vs. the Falcons.</p>

<p>However, don&rsquo;t look past the Titans.</p>

<p>Tennessee is 2-0 ATS the spread at home this season and are 2-1 vs. the Falcons all-time in their games since the Titans moved to Nashville. And the Titans&rsquo; only loss was 10-7.</p>

<p>And let&rsquo;s not forget Mike Vrabel coached teams are 11-6 outright and ATS as home underdogs.</p>

<h2><strong>New Orleans at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Alvin Kamara over 4.5 receptions on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Since his return from suspension, Kamara has seen 39 targets, including 22 in the last two games.</p>

<p>He has recorded 12 and 7 receptions, respectively, in the last two games.</p>

<p>In his only game vs. the Colts, he had five catches, and if Derek Carr continues to check down, Kamara will see pass after pass after pass.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Rams at Dallas</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 45.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I&rsquo;m expecting plenty of offense in this one.</p>

<p>In their last two meetings in Dallas, the Cowboys and the Rams have combined for 65 points in each game.</p>

<p>Plus, Dallas has averaged 34.8 points a game in their last five matchups at home vs. Rams.</p>

<h2><strong>Minnesota at Green Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Cam Akers over 28.5 yards rushing on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Akers has faced the Cowboys twice in his short career. In those two matchups, he&rsquo;s ran for 65 and 90 yards as the RB1.</p>

<p>He&rsquo;s currently the RB2 with the Vikings but he received the key RB touches late in last week&rsquo;s upset of San Francisco. He finished with 10 rushes for 31 yards.</p>

<p>His snap count share has fluctuated since his arrival in Minnesota but he saw his most snaps (27) last week for a 39 percent snap share.</p>

<p>Alexander Mattison played only 37 snaps last week. Akers is closing the gap.</p>

<h2><strong>Philadelphia at Washington</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Terry McLaurin over 57.5 yards receiving on Bet365</strong></h3>

<p>Since his NFL debut vs. the Eagles, McLaurin has continued to play well against the Commanders&rsquo; NFC East rival.</p>

<p>He had two 100-yard games vs. Philly last season and finished with 8 catches for 86 yards in a matchup earlier this month.</p>

<p>He has averaged 87.1 yards receiving a game in his career vs. the Eagles.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

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 Well, it was nice to get two wins last week but my slide has lasted two weeks now.I have a good feeling my NFL Week 8 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets are going to have a fruitful week.Last week could have seen me plod through another 1-4 week, but t

NFL Week 8 - Danny's Best Bets

<p>I would hope a little luck comes my way this weekend in NFL Week 7 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets and DFS.</p>

<p>My picks last week were a disaster as<a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1576/nfl-week-6-dannys-best-bets"> I finished with 1-4 record</a>, while in DFS, I had to suffer through <a href="https://www.espn.com/video/clip/_/id/38700246">Foster Moreau&rsquo;s dropped pass</a> for a touchdown Thursday night. If he had caught the wide-open pass, my bankroll would have had a nice start to the weekend.</p>

<p>But that&rsquo;s sports in general &ndash; you win some and you lose some!</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 1-4 (.200)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 15-15 (.500)</p>

<p>Join <a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">our Discord and our NFL premium service </a>to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses </a>for&nbsp;the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 7&ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Buffalo at New England</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Stefon Diggs over 83.5 yards receiving on BetRivers</strong></h3>

<p>Diggs has face the Patriots six times in his career as a Bill.</p>

<p>He has surpassed 83.5 yards receiving in five of those six games.</p>

<p>But his numbers improve when the Bills play the Patriots in Foxborough, where he has averaged 7.7 receptions and 103.7 yards in three games.</p>

<p>My DFS spreadsheet also has Diggs as the highest scoring WR this week.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at Baltimore</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Mark Andrews over 50.5 receiving yards on PointsBet</strong></h3>

<p>Thanks to the extra game scheduling implemented by the NFL when the league went to a 17-game schedule, Andrews will face the Lions for the second time in his career.</p>

<p>In the first matchup, Andrews hauled in 5 of 7 passes for 109 yards.</p>

<p>The Lions enter the game in the bottom third of the league in defending against TEs. They give more than 60 yards receiving a game, and a healthy Andrews should take advantage to surpass 50.5 yards.</p>

<h2><strong>Cleveland at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Cleveland -3.5 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>The Browns have lost 3 of the last 4 visits to Indianapolis, but this defense is a different monster than in the past.</p>

<p>Much has been said about Miami&rsquo;s record-breaking offense so far this season, but the Browns have something special as well.</p>

<p>Cleveland is allowing only 200.4 yards of total offense a game &ndash; that&rsquo;s right TOTAL offense.</p>

<p><span style="color:black">The Browns are on a historic pace<span style="background-color:white"> to allow 3,407 yards of total defense, which would be the lowest total for a full season since the NFL switched to a 16-game schedule in 1978.</span></span></p>

<h2><strong>Pittsburgh at LA Rams</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Cooper Kupp over 7.5 receptions on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>With the running game in limbo this week for the Rams, Kupp could feast on an underperforming Pittsburgh secondary.</p>

<p>RB Kyren Williams will miss the game with an ankle injury for the Rams, allowing the offense to fall on the shoulders of QB Matthew Stafford and his receiving corps.</p>

<p>Kupp has not missed a beat since returning from IR from a hamstring injury as he has averaging 7.5 receptions in his two games.</p>

<p>The Steelers rank 25th in the league in pass defense, giving up 245.6 yards a game, and allow the fourth most WR fantasy points this season.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Chargers at Kansas City</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 47.5 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>I&rsquo;ll save the best game on a weak Sunday main slate schedule for last.</p>

<p>In the teams&rsquo; last five meetings at Arrowhead, the Chiefs and the Chargers have combined to average 54.6 points a game.</p>

<p>The weather forecast for Kansas City is spectacular &ndash; a balmy 73 degrees with winds expected to be 12 mph or less.</p>

<p>Plus, I have a sneaky feeling this game will be bet back up on Sunday, so you better get on it while you can.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

<p><span style="color:blue"><u><strong><em><span style="color:black"><a href="https://betkarma.com/prizepicks-predictor?afmc=34" style="color:blue; text-decoration:underline"><span style="color:black">Also check out our PrizePicks Predictor!</span></a></span></em></strong></u></span></p>

 I would hope a little luck comes my way this weekend in NFL Week 7 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets and DFS.My picks last week were a disaster as I finished with 1-4 record, while in DFS, I had to suffer through Foster Moreau&rsquo;s dropped pass for

<p>I still can&rsquo;t get anyone in contention with my PGA Bets to Win.</p>

<p>I had a feeling Tom Kim or Ludvig Aberg was going to win last week, but their odds were so low I didn&rsquo;t think they were smart plays.</p>

<p>Three of my 4 plays last week made the cut. Vincent Norrman was the only one who didn&rsquo;t see the weekend.</p>

<p>This week the fall schedule heads to the limited-field Zozo Championship in Japan.</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Click here</a> to get all our Premium Bets!</p>

<p>Let&rsquo;s get right into my PGA Bets to Win!</p>

<h2><strong>Rickie Fowler </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+1600 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Fowler&rsquo;s resurgence was impressive this season. He finally got back into the win column, claiming the Rocket Mortgage Classic in July.</p>

<p>This week he has the statistical makeup to excel at the Narashino Country Club. However, he may need to knock off some rust since his last tournament was at the Tour Championship.</p>

<p>He ranks in the Top 20 in 9 of 11 categories this week, including all 4 of my course fit categories.</p>

<h2><strong>Eric Cole</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+3500 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>If you had watched Cole during his first round at the Shriners Children&rsquo;s Open, you would have said no way he contends.</p>

<p>He finished a tie for third by the time the weekend ended after starting 2-over in his first three holes.</p>

<p>This week he ranked in the Top 20 in the field in 7 of 11 categories, including 3 course fit categories.</p>

<p>The only thing missing during his stellar rookie season is a win.</p>

<h2><strong>J.J. Spaun </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+5500 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Spaun has been one round away from being in contention in the two fall events he has played.</p>

<p>He shot a 5-under during the first round of the Shriners Children&rsquo;s Open last week. But a second-round 73 almost knocked him out for the weekend and he never contended on Saturday and Sunday.</p>

<p>A sluggish first round at the Fortinet Championship limited the upside to a tie for 11th.</p>

<p>He ranks Top 20 in 8 of 11 categories, including all 4 course fit stats, this week for the Zozo.</p>

<h2><strong>Ryo Hisatsune</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+8000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>The odds do not match the golfer.</p>

<p>Hisatsune just recently won in France last month and placed tied for 12th in last year&rsquo;s Zozo Championships.</p>

<p>And he has the stats to back it up.</p>

<p>He would be in the Top 10 on the PGA Tour in six categories I used this week for my spreadsheet. However, he is also part of the no-putt club.</p>

<h2><strong>Kevin Yu</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+20000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>With this being a no-cut event, Yu could be a scary darkhorse.</p>

<p>He has the game to rattle off birdies and eagles in a hurry, but his putter can send him in the other direction just as fast.</p>

<p>We just need him to get hot and play with confidence since there is no cut.</p>

<p>He ranks in the Top 20 this week in 5 of 11 categories.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></em></strong></p>

 I still can&rsquo;t get anyone in contention with my PGA Bets to Win.I had a feeling Tom Kim or Ludvig Aberg was going to win last week, but their odds were so low I didn&rsquo;t think they were smart plays.Three of my 4 plays last week made the cut

PGA Best Bets - Zozo Championship

<p>For second time this season, Minnesota could not deliver <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1574/nfl-week-5-dannys-best-bets">an over in a home game</a>.</p>

<p>The Vikings fell short against Kansas City, 27-20, last Sunday as I had over at 52.5 points. Minnesota cost me an over play in their loss to the LA Chargers when it failed to score into the red zone twice.</p>

<p>Lesson learned and let&rsquo;s move to NFL Week 6 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 3-2 (.600)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 14-11 (.560)</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Join our Discord and our NFL premium service </a>to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget to visit <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses </a>to start the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 6 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Seattle at Cincinnati</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 44.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>The Bengals have won the last two matchups in Cincinnati by the same score, 27-24.</p>

<p>In the teams&rsquo; last five games, they have combined to average 46.6 points a game and both teams have seen their offenses gain their footing.</p>

<p>The Seahawks have averaged 32.7 points since their loss to the Rams in their season opener, while Joe Burrow and the Bengals got healthy last week vs. Arizona, scoring 34 points.</p>

<h2><strong>New Orleans at Houston</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Alvin Kamara over 95.5 combined rushing-receiving yards</strong></h3>

<p>Since his return from suspension, Kamara has been the workhorse in the Saints backfield, averaging 24 touches in his two games.</p>

<p>In his only career game vs. the Texans, Kamara shredded them, going for 97 yards rushing and 72 yards receiving.</p>

<p>Plus, the game total for this game has moved up to 42.5, which should be a good sign for more offense.</p>

<h2><strong>Detroit at Tampa Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tampa Bay +3 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>Detroit has won its last three visits to Tampa, but the Buccaneers have won the last two matchups overall.</p>

<p>So why am I taking Tampa Bay?</p>

<p>Both teams have been excellent against the spread this season. The Lions are 4-1, while the Buccaneers are 3-1.</p>

<p>It comes down to me wanting to be different than the public who are all over the Lions &ndash; so you can say this is a gut play.</p>

<h2><strong>Arizona at LA Rams</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 48.5 points on FanDuel </strong></h3>

<h3><strong>Matthew Stafford over 276.5 yards passing on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I believe the Cardinals can keep this game competitive.</p>

<p>Arizona has been in every game except in its&nbsp;loss to San Francisco.</p>

<p>The Rams defense is not the same as in years past, and the Arizona Josh Dobbs-led offense is adequate enough to hang four quarters.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s leads me to my other pick.</p>

<p>Stafford has averaged more than 290 yards passing a game this season, despite last week&rsquo;s 222-yard performance.</p>

<p>Then he has Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. Kupp returned from a hamstring injury and didn&rsquo;t miss a beat last week. Nacua gives Stafford a strong second option if Kupp is covered as the first option.</p>

<p>In a competitive game, Stafford should pass for more than 300 yards.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></em></strong></p>

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 For second time this season, Minnesota could not deliver an over in a home game.The Vikings fell short against Kansas City, 27-20, last Sunday as I had over at 52.5 points. Minnesota cost me an over play in their loss to the LA Chargers when it fail

<p>Well, there was no money to win last week for us, even with a 1 in 5 chance in a playoff to have the winner of the Sanderson Farms Championship.</p>

<p>Last week, four of my five golfers made it to the weekend but sluggish starts and finishes doomed any chances of a win.</p>

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<p>Let&rsquo;s go into this week&rsquo;s Bets to Win!</p>

<h2><strong>Vincent Norrman </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+3500 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>You are going to see a pattern with this week&rsquo;s Bets to Win &ndash; it&rsquo;s the no-putt club and it starts with Norrman.</p>

<p>He&rsquo;s strong in SG: tee to green and SG: off the tee and fills three checkmarks on my four course fit stats. However, he ranks in the bottom quarter of the PGA Tour in putting.</p>

<p>He does have a win the World Tour at the Irish Open in September and won the PGA&rsquo;s Barbasol Championship in July.</p>

<h2><strong>Nicolai Hojgaard</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+4000 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Hojgaard was part of the European Ryder Cup winning team as a rookie, but only thing missing on his early pro resume is an individual PGA victory.</p>

<p>He checks all the right boxes this week and had 2 Top-10 finishes in August on the World Tour.</p>

<p>His weakness is his accuracy off the tee, but unless he gets an unlucky break the rough and most of the native areas around the TPC Summerlin are manageable.</p>

<h2><strong>Aaron Rai</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+5500 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Rai is another part of the no-putt club, but he has shown the ability to score well in the first round. The problem is his troubles retaining first-round leads.</p>

<p>He had a share of the first-round lead at Farmers Insurance Open and the solo first-round lead at RBC Heritage this season.</p>

<p>Now he just needs to put four rounds together.</p>

<h2><strong>Akshay Bhatia</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+9000 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Bhatia is looking for his second win this season, but it&rsquo;s his putter that has held him back.</p>

<p>He won the Barracuda Championship in July, but his 176th-ranked putting on the PGA Tour has limited his upside.</p>

<p>But he comes into the Shriners with some hope as he is ranked in the Top 20 of all four categories I have for course fit on my spreadsheet.</p>

<p>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter)<a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2"> <em><strong>@fantasyfbguru2</strong></em></a></p>

 Well, there was no money to win last week for us, even with a 1 in 5 chance in a playoff to have the winner of the Sanderson Farms Championship.Last week, four of my five golfers made it to the weekend but sluggish starts and finishes doomed any cha

PGA Best Bets - Shriners Children's Open

<p>It was almost <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1568/nfl-week-4-dannys-best-bets">a clean sweep during Week 4 </a>so now I&rsquo;m looking for an undefeated finish with my NFL Week 5 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p>The only downfall in Week 4 was taking a risk with LA Rams&rsquo; Kyren Williams finishing with 4.5 receptions. The Rams jumped to an early big lead and didn&rsquo;t need Williams much in the passing game, but he did have 2 receptions in the OT winning drive to finish with 3 catches. Too little, too late!</p>

<p><strong>Last Week:</strong> 4-1 (.800)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 11-9 (.550)</p>

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<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget to <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses</a> for&nbsp;the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 5 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Jacksonville at Buffalo (in London)</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Under 48.5 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Since their big win in Week 1, Jacksonville has struggled on offense only averaging 16.3 points a game, while the Buffalo offense has been humming to the tune of 41 points a game.</p>

<p>But I think the Bills have a letdown offensively after their big AFC East Division win against Miami and then traveling to England.</p>

<p>Plus, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/jaguars-bills-tottenham-london-allen-a13bf35908a9b6881324717766d6626f">the Jaguars stayed in England</a> to prepare the game after playing Atlanta in London during Week 4.</p>

<h2><strong>Carolina at Detroit</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Adam Thielen under 55.5 yards receiving on PointsBet</strong></h3>

<p>Thielen has seen a resurgence during his last three weeks as the 33-year-old WR has had 25 receptions for 275 yards and 2 TDs.</p>

<p>But now he returns to a familiar place &ndash; Ford Field.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/adam-thielen-stats-vs-lions">During his career with Minnesota</a>, he only averaged 46.1 yards receiving when facing the Lions in Detroit.</p>

<p>The Lions also have the best defense Carolina has seen this season. Detroit ranks 4th in yards allowed a game at 280.5.</p>

<h2><strong>New Orleans at New England</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>New Orleans +1 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This line has bounced all over the place this week with Derek Carr still nursing an injured shoulder and<a href="https://www.patriots.com/news/week-5-injury-report-saints-at-patriots"> the Patriots dealing with injuries on defense</a>.</p>

<p>The Saints offense is getting healthier with the return of Alvin Kamara from suspension and Carr another week removed from his initial injury.</p>

<p>On the other side, the Patriots&rsquo; offense has been running cold, averaging 13.8 points a game after getting smacked, 38-3, last week in Dallas.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;ll take the points in sluggish game.</p>

<h2><strong>Baltimore at Pittsburgh</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Pittsburgh +4.5 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>The games between these two teams are just plain ugly.</p>

<p>In their last six games, the largest margin of victory has been 5 while the winner has won by average margin of 3 points.</p>

<p>And <a href="https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/lamar-jackson-stats-vs-steelers">Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson has been inconsistent vs. the Steelers</a> defense during his career. He has a 67.4 QB rating and has been sacked 16 times in his last 3 games vs. Pittsburgh.</p>

<h2><strong>Kansas City at Minnesota</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 52.5 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>This is the game most fantasy and DFS players and bettors alike will be tuned into during the late afternoon games on Sunday.</p>

<p>Both teams feature prolific offenses, while the Minnesota defense has been a sieve for opponent&rsquo;s offensive fireworks. The Vikings are giving up 23.8 points a game.</p>

<p>And if the Chiefs defense can be exploited by Zach Wilson, then Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson and the rest of the Minnesota offense should excel, too.</p>

<p><strong><em>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></em></strong></p>

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 It was almost a clean sweep during Week 4 so now I&rsquo;m looking for an undefeated finish with my NFL Week 5 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.The only downfall in Week 4 was taking a risk with LA Rams&rsquo; Kyren Williams finishing with 4.5 recept

<p>The PGA Tour Fall Season is about to get into full swing!</p>

<p>The month of October is packed with events as members are trying to reach the elusive 125 number to earn full exempt status into full-field events and a spot in The Players.</p>

<p>Starting off the month is the Sanderson Farms Championship in Jackson, Miss., and I&rsquo;m bringing to you my favorite outright bets.&nbsp;</p>

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<h2><strong>Eric Cole</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+2000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Cole has been on the doorstep four times this season, finishing 4th at the Fortinet Championship last month. He came close early in the season, losing to Chris Kirk in a playoff at the Honda Classic in February.&nbsp;</p>

<p>He is the only golfer in the field that filled the four boxes I used for a course fit and he is Top 5 overall on my spreadsheet.</p>

<h2><strong>Garrick Higgo</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+4000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Higgo has been known as a bomber and can been erratic, proof of missing the cut in last two events, but before that he had three straight Top 25 finishes.</p>

<p>The tree-lined course at Country Club of Jackson could prove to be a problem for the non-accurate hitters like Higgo but the rough is a non-penal, two-inch Bermuda.</p>

<p>Plus, he had a 3rd-place finish here last fall.</p>

<h2><strong>Sam Ryder</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+4500 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>The greens at the Country Club at Jackson can be lightning quick, and Ryder has the short game to make a run.</p>

<p>He&rsquo;s Top 25 in SG: approach and SG: putting this season on the PGA Tour. He is coming off a T14 at the Fortinet Championship and had a T45th last fall at Sanderson Farm.</p>

<h2><strong>Dylan Wu</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+6000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Wu has had a knack of early strong runs but fails to continue that strong play into the weekends during the second half of the season.</p>

<p>With a weaker field, Wu may finally breakthrough as he is Top 20 in this field in tee to green, approach, putting and three of the four course fit stats I used for this event.</p>

<h2><strong>Peter Kuest</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>+7000 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Kuest has played solid golf late in the season and is coming off a miss cut right on the number (-2) after starting Fortinet +4 on his first two holes.</p>

<p>Kuest has the distance to take advantage of this course. If he had enough rounds under his belt, he would be Top 5 in driving distance and Top 5 in par-5 scoring. The par 5s at the Country Club of Jackson are getable in three, setting some eagle opportunities for Kuest.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></strong></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

 The PGA Tour Fall Season is about to get into full swing!The month of October is packed with events as members are trying to reach the elusive 125 number to earn full exempt status into full-field events and a spot in The Players.Starting off the mo

PGA Best Bets - Sanderson Farms Championship

<p>Finally a winning week, but it was more of a disappointment!</p>

<p>Minnesota had the ball inside the 10 twice late in the fourth quarter and failed to come away with any points, losing to the LA Chargers, 28-24. I had the over 53.5 (big sigh as I shake my head).</p>

<p>I finished <a href="https://betkarma.com/article/1564/nfl-week-3-dannys-best-bets">last week with a 3-2 record</a>, but missing the over in that game hurt.</p>

<p>But I believe NFL Week 4 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets are going in the right direction.</p>

<p><strong>Last week:</strong> 3-2 (.600)</p>

<p><strong>Overall:</strong> 7-8 (.467)</p>

<p><a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">Join our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses</a> for the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 4 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Miami at Buffalo</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Bills -2.5 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>The Dolphins are the hottest team in the NFL, and they come into Highmark Stadium losing 7 straight there.</p>

<p>And granted Miami has been competitive in their last two matchups in Buffalo, but during the losing streak, the Bills have won by an average of 13.4 points a game.</p>

<p>That is enough to sway me to the Bills Mafia side.</p>

<h2><strong>Denver at Chicago</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 46 points on Caesars Sportsbook</strong></h3>

<p>The last time these two teams played and scored more than 46 points was in 2007 as the Bears won, 37-34, in overtime.</p>

<p>The quarterbacks for the teams then were Rex Grossman and Jay Cutler.</p>

<p>This matchup should have better quarterback play with Justin Fields and Russell Wilson, but it&rsquo;s the defenses that make this game so attractive for the over.</p>

<p>The Broncos are giving up a league-worst 40.7 points a game after allowing 70 to Miami last week, while the Bears are giving up the second most points at 35.3 points a game.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Rams at Indianapolis</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Kyren Williams over 4.5 receptions (+150) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>This one may fall short but it&rsquo;s tough to pass up those odds when Williams has seen 17 targets in the last two games.</p>

<p>Now he&rsquo;s only produced 8 catches with those targets, but he has the opportunity of crush that number in a back-and-forth contest.</p>

<p>And he continues to dominate the RB snap shares as he played every down last week.</p>

<h2><strong>Minnesota at Carolina</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Adam Thielen over 48.5 yards receiving on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Thielen has seen 23 targets from Andy Dalton and Bryce Young in his past two games, and the shaky Minnesota pass defense comes to Charlotte.</p>

<p>The Vikings are giving up 261 passing yards a game and just gave up 445 passing yards to Justin Herbert last week.</p>

<p>In these teams last three meetings, they have averaged 57.3 points a game so there were should be plenty of opportunity for Thielen to pile up receiving yards again.</p>

<h2><strong>Seattle at NY Giants</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Seahawks +1.5 on Caesars Sportsbook</strong></h3>

<p>This was the only line I found where the Seahawks were the underdogs, and I jumped all over it.</p>

<p>Every other major sportsbooks have Seattle as a 1- or 1.5-point favorite.</p>

<p>I&rsquo;ll take the points for the team that I believe is the better.</p>

<p><em>-<strong> Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2"><span style="color:blue"><u>@fantasyfbguru2</u></span></a></strong></em></p>

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 Finally a winning week, but it was more of a disappointment!Minnesota had the ball inside the 10 twice late in the fourth quarter and failed to come away with any points, losing to the LA Chargers, 28-24. I had the over 53.5 (big sigh as I shake my 

<p>A successful NFL Week 2 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets were stumped by a holding call against a Dallas offensive lineman as Tony Pollard was crossing the goal line and securing a winning week.</p>

<p>But oh no &ndash; another losing week!</p>

<p>As we collect more information about I believe I have right plays for NFL Week 3 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p>Last week&rsquo;s winners were Tennessee +3 and Christian McCaffrey over 67.5 rushing yards</p>

<p>The Titans needed overtime to keep the Los Angeles Chargers winless, while McCaffrey easily crushed his total in the first half.</p>

<p>Losers, besides the non-Pollard TD, were Cincinnati -3 and Calvin Ridley over 72.5 receiving yards.</p>

<p>The Bengals&rsquo; offensive woes will not get better until Joe Burrow is 100 percent healthy, and the Chiefs&rsquo; defense was a force, shutting down Ridley and the whole Jacksonville offense.</p>

<p><strong>Week 2 record:</strong> 2-3 (.400)</p>

<p><strong>Overall record:</strong> 4-6 (.400)</p>

<p>Join <a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays. I&rsquo;m currently 4-1 on Thursday Night Game plays after hitting Deebo Samuel over 4.5 receptions.</p>

<p>Also don&rsquo;t forget <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses</a> to start the NFL season.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 3 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Chargers at Minnesota</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 53.5 on FanDuel and KJ Osborn over 34.5 receiving yards on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>Neither one of these teams have played much defense this season.</p>

<p>The Chargers have giving up 30-plus points in their two losses, while the Vikings continue their defensive woes from last season, giving up 27.0 points a game this season.</p>

<p>And both offenses have been outstanding.</p>

<p>The Chargers average 29.0 points a game, and the Vikings are the second best passing team in the NFL, averaging 337 yards a game. The Vikings&rsquo; biggest problem has been turnovers as they are minus-6 for the season.</p>

<p>Now the Osborn over 34.5 receiving yards may seem to be a little tricky, but hear me out.</p>

<p>The Chargers have given up 76 and 78 yards to the Titans and the Dolphins No. 2 WR, and they have been on limited targets (9 total).</p>

<p>Osborn is still the No. 2 WR in the Vikings offense and has seen 12 targets despite averaging only 32.5 yards a game.</p>

<h2><strong>New Orleans at Green Bay</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Over 42.5 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>I think the odds makers may have missed this one.</p>

<p>In the team&rsquo;s last five meetings in Green Bay (dating back to 2005), the two have averaged 58.6 points a game.</p>

<p>Coming into the contest, the Packers are averaging 31 points, while the Saints are averaging 18 points this season.</p>

<h2><strong>Houston at Jacksonville</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Travis Etienne over 69.5 on DraftKings (I made my bet when the line was 67.5)</strong></h3>

<p>Etienne loves seeing the Houston rush defense.</p>

<p>The third-year running back, who missed his rookie season because of injury, ran through and around the Texans last season.</p>

<p>He had 71 and 108 yards rushing on just 19 combined attempts in their two matchups.</p>

<p>The Texans&rsquo; rush defense is not as bad as in year&rsquo;s past but they are giving up 118 yards a game in 2023. And Etienne saw</p>

<h2><strong>Denver at Miami </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Miami -6 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>The Dolphins finally come home after their blistering 2-0 start on the road.</p>

<p>They welcome the Broncos, who are playing their first road of the season after a 0-2 start.</p>

<p>Miami will stay undefeated thanks to their 12th player &ndash; the Southeast Florida weather.</p>

<p>Temperatures are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s at kickoff with humidity in the 70 percent range.</p>

<p>Plus, the Dolphins will wear their road whites and force the Broncos to wear their dark home jerseys on the visitor&rsquo;s sideline in the sun at Hard Rock Stadium.</p>

<p>This line may be too small.</p>

<p><em><strong>- Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) </strong></em><a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2"><span style="color:blue"><u><strong><em>@fantasyfbguru2</em></strong></u></span></a></p>

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 A successful NFL Week 2 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets were stumped by a holding call against a Dallas offensive lineman as Tony Pollard was crossing the goal line and securing a winning week.But oh no &ndash; another losing week!As we collect more

<p>Well, it was a slow start to my season.</p>

<p>But I think I can rebound in my NFL Week 2 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p>Last week, I finished with a 2-3 record as the weather in Cleveland slowed down the Browns&rsquo; passing attack and Amari Cooper finished with only 37 yards receiving, all in the first half. He probably only needed one more catch to surpass the 54.5 yards mark he needed to win my bet.</p>

<p>Then I was completely on the wrong side of my other two losses &ndash; Pittsburgh +2.5 and the under 51 in the Miami-LA Chargers game. Oh well that&rsquo;s how it goes!</p>

<p>But my two winners were as easy as my losses &ndash; the Browns cruised pass Cincinnati while getting 2.5 points and Las Vegas&rsquo; Jakobi Meyers surpassed his 3.5 receptions by halftime.</p>

<p>I will say you need <a href="https://betkarma.com/pricing">to join our Discord and our NFL premium service</a> to get all our plays. I&rsquo;m currently 3-1 on Thursday Night Game plays after hitting Boston Scott over 16.5 rushing yards this past Thursday.</p>

<p>Don&rsquo;t forget to visit <a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos">our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses to start the NFL season</a>.</p>

<p>Now onto NFL Week 2 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets!</p>

<h2><strong>Baltimore at Cincinnati </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Cincinnati -3 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>This pick is definitely going against the public, which scares me with so much chalk hitting in DFS and straight betting in the first week and a half of the season.</p>

<p>But the Bengals have dominated the Ravens in their last three matchups in Cincinnati.</p>

<p>Cincinnati has outscored Baltimore, 30.7-18, in those three matchups, and if it wasn&rsquo;t for Joe Burrow&rsquo;s disappointing Week 1, the spread would be at least a touchdown.</p>

<p>I believe the -3 is a gift you cannot ignore.</p>

<h2><strong>LA Chargers at Tennessee</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tennessee +3 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I really want to the take the under in this game, but I think taking the Titans and the points is the safer play.</p>

<p>In the Titans&rsquo; last 21 games as underdogs, they are a 14-6-1, including 11 outright wins.</p>

<p>The Chargers may also be without standout RB Austin Ekeler, who is doubtful with an ankle injury.</p>

<p>Plus, this is another game where the public is all over the road favorite Chargers, and I like to be the opposite.</p>

<h2><strong>Kansas City at Jacksonville </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Calvin Ridley over 72.5 receiving yards on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>With this game expected to be a high-scoring affair (51.5 is the total at several books), Ridley should be able to eclipse his receiving total.</p>

<p>Last week vs. Indianapolis, he had a 34 percent target share and a 100 percent mark in route participation. He finished with 8 catches on 11 targets for 101 yards and 1 touchdown.</p>

<p>The Chiefs&rsquo; defense was also less effective on the road than at home last season. They gave up more yards per attempt (6.9 to 6.5), TD passes (20 to 13) and yards (2,358 to 1,786).</p>

<h2><strong>NY Jets at Dallas</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Tony Pollard anytime TD (-145) on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Pollard had a nice showing in his first game without competing for touches in the Cowboys backfield.</p>

<p>He finished with 70 yards rushing and 2 TDs and played sparingly in the fourth quarter of Dallas&rsquo; 40-0 win vs. the NY Giants.</p>

<p>Pollard also had 7 touches inside the 20 (77 percent of the team total).</p>

<p>And now the Cowboys defense gets to chase down turnover-proned Zach Wilson at quarterback after the Jets lost Aaron Rodgers to a season-ending Achilles&rsquo; injury, which could give Pollard more chances to score with short fields.</p>

<h2><strong>San Francisco at LA Rams</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Christian McCaffrey over 67.5 rushing yards on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>McCaffrey has played against the Rams three times in his career, and I&rsquo;m sure they not happy to see him again.</p>

<p>He has averaged 97.0 yards rushing in those three games, and the 49ers offense was hitting on all cylinders vs. Pittsburgh last week.</p>

<p>If you really want to get frisky, may be add his rushing and receiving total as he has averaged 8 receptions and 75 yards in those three games as well.</p>

<p><em><strong><span style="color:black">- Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) </span></strong></em><a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2"><span style="color:blue"><u><strong><em>@fantasyfbguru2</em></strong></u></span></a></p>

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 Well, it was a slow start to my season.But I think I can rebound in my NFL Week 2 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.Last week, I finished with a 2-3 record as the weather in Cleveland slowed down the Browns&rsquo; passing attack and Amari Cooper finis

<p>Opening day Sunday is almost upon us, and I&rsquo;m ready for a great year starting with my NFL Week 1 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<p>I will be providing five Best Bets each week, varying from moneyline plays, spreads, over/unders and a few prop bets.</p>

<p>And if you follow us on our Discord, I went 2-for-3 in the Thursday night game between Detroit and Kansas City (The Lions won, 21-20). I won on the under 53 and David Montgomery&rsquo;s over 64.5 rushing/receiving yards. My loss was Skyy Moore&rsquo;s over 3.5 receptions. All three were from DraftKings, but don&rsquo;t forget<a href="https://betkarma.com/sportsbook-promos"> to visit our sponsors and check out their sign-up bonuses</a> to start the NFL season.</p>

<p>Well enough with the introductions, let&rsquo;s get into my NFL Week 1 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.</p>

<h2><strong>Cincinnati at Cleveland </strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Cleveland +2.5 on BetMGM &amp; Amari Cooper over 54.5 receiving yards -115 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>I believe the odds makers have the spread wrong for this game.</p>

<p>The Browns are riding a five-game winning streak vs. the Bengals in Cleveland, and Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow is only 1-4 vs. Browns, as well.</p>

<p>If the Browns have the lead late, the Bengals have struggled to come from behind as they&rsquo;ve only scored last in 3 of their last 11 away games.</p>

<p>Plus, the Browns ended a 17-game non-winning streak in opening games last season with their 26-24 victory against Carolina.</p>

<p>Now for the second bet &ndash; Cooper is a great value from my DFS spreadsheet this week as he is the fifth best point scorer at WR and the sixth best value among the WRs. He averaged 14.9 yards a catch last year and if he holds that trend he would only need 4 catches to surpass the 54.5 yards.</p>

<h2><strong>San Francisco at Pittsburgh</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Pittsburgh +2.5 on FanDuel</strong></h3>

<p>This is expected to be the battle of defenses as the total for the game is 41.5.</p>

<p>However, the 49ers&rsquo; last two visits to Pittsburgh, the Steelers have cruised to big victories (2015 &ndash; Steelers won, 43-18; and 2007 &ndash; Steelers won, 37-16).</p>

<p>Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh passing offense seemed to be clicking on all cylinders in the preseason, and the 49ers&rsquo; weakness was their 21st ranked pass defense in 2022.</p>

<p>Plus, the 49ers averaged 5.6 less points on the road last year compared to their home contests.</p>

<h2><strong>Las Vegas at Denver</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Jakobi Meyers over 3.5 receptions +124 on DraftKings</strong></h3>

<p>Meyers has proven to be one of better slot receivers in the NFL, and he has juicy matchup vs. the Broncos.</p>

<p>Denver has given up 10 or more receptions to the slot in their last five games in 2022, and with the Broncos defense concentrating on Davante Adams, it will open up chances for Meyers.</p>

<p>Meyers also reunited with Vegas head coach Josh McDaniels, who was the offensive coordinator in New England when Meyers broke out. McDaniels will be creative to take advantage for Meyers&rsquo; talents.</p>

<h2><strong>Miami at LA Chargers</strong></h2>

<h3><strong>Under 51 on BetMGM</strong></h3>

<p>This game is the darling of the weekend.</p>

<p>Two up-and-coming teams with explosive offenses and questionable defenses.</p>

<p>But I&rsquo;m going to be contrarian as most believe this is going to be a high scoring game, but here&rsquo;s the rub &ndash; in their last 10 matchups, only one game has exceeded 51 total points.</p>

<p>The Dolphins have only averaged 18.3 points in their last six visits out West to face the Chargers. If the Dolphins continue this scoring trend, the Chargers would have to score 6-plus more points than their implied team total of 27.</p>

<p><strong><em><span style="color:black">- Follow me on X (formerly Twitter) <a href="https://twitter.com/Fantasyfbguru2">@fantasyfbguru2</a></span></em></strong></p>

<p><em><a href="https://betkarma.com/prizepicks-predictor?afmc=34"><strong><span style="color:black">Also check out our PrizePicks Predictor!</span></strong></a></em></p>

 Opening day Sunday is almost upon us, and I&rsquo;m ready for a great year starting with my NFL Week 1 &ndash; Danny&rsquo;s Best Bets.I will be providing five Best Bets each week, varying from moneyline plays, spreads, over/unders and a few prop be

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